Paraguay
Group D · currently 3rd
At the 2026 World Cup, Paraguay has a 100% chance to advance from Group D and a 0.3% chance to win the title, per a 10,000-run simulation.
Latest result · 6/26/2026
100%
Chance to advance
0.3%
Title chance
1814
Model strength rating
Strength rating = the Elo rating the model uses (one input to its probabilities), not an official ranking.
Group D table
| # | Team | P | Pts | GD | Adv |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  United States | 3 | 6 | +4 | 100% |
| 2 |  Australia | 3 | 4 | 0 | 100% |
| 3 |  Paraguay | 3 | 4 | -2 | 100% |
| 4 |  Turkey | 3 | 3 | -2 | 0% |
Top two advance directly; third place enters the best-thirds race for 8 spots. Advance chance from 10,000 Monte Carlo sims.
Next match
No upcoming fixtures
Recent form
Official squad
Head coach: Gustavo Alfaro (Argentina)Avg age: 28.5Avg height: 182 cmTotal caps: 705
Goalkeepers (3)
| # | Player | Club | Age | Caps | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FERNANDEZ Gatito | Cerro Porteño (PAR) | 38 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 | GILL Orlando | CA San Lorenzo (ARG) | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 | OLVEIRA Gaston | Club Olimpia (PAR) | 33 | 1 | 0 |
Defenders (8)
| # | Player | Club | Age | Caps | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | VELAZQUEZ Gustavo | Cerro Porteño (PAR) | 35 | 14 | 1 |
| 3 | ALDERETE Omar | Sunderland AFC (ENG) | 29 | 37 | 3 |
| 4 | CACERES Juan Jose | FC Dynamo Moscow (RUS) | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 5 | BALBUENA Fabian | Grêmio FBPA (BRA) | 34 | 47 | 2 |
| 6 | ALONSO Junior | Atlético Mineiro (BRA) | 33 | 72 | 3 |
| 13 | CANALE Jose | CA Lanús (ARG) | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | GOMEZ Gustavo | SE Palmeiras (BRA) | 33 | 90 | 4 |
| 26 | MAIDANA Alexandro | CA Talleres (ARG) | 20 | 2 | 1 |
Midfielders (9)
| # | Player | Club | Age | Caps | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | SOSA Ramon | SE Palmeiras (BRA) | 26 | 30 | 1 |
| 8 | GOMEZ Diego | Brighton & Hove Albion FC (ENG) | 23 | 25 | 3 |
| 10 | ALMIRON Miguel | Atlanta United FC (USA) | 32 | 77 | 10 |
| 11 | MAURICIO | SE Palmeiras (BRA) | 24 | 4 | 1 |
| 14 | CUBAS Andres | Vancouver Whitecaps FC (CAN) | 30 | 34 | 0 |
| 16 | BOBADILLA Damian | São Paulo FC (BRA) | 24 | 20 | 1 |
| 20 | OJEDA Braian | Orlando City SC (USA) | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 | GALARZA Matias | Atlanta United FC (USA) | 24 | 15 | 3 |
| 24 | CABALLERO Gustavo | Portsmouth FC (ENG) | 24 | 2 | 1 |
Forwards (6)
| # | Player | Club | Age | Caps | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | SANABRIA Antonio | US Cremonese (ITA) | 30 | 49 | 7 |
| 17 | ROMERO GAMARRA Alejandro | Al Ain FC (UAE) | 31 | 35 | 6 |
| 18 | ARCE Alex | CS Independiente Rivadavia (ARG) | 30 | 16 | 1 |
| 19 | ENCISO Julio | RC Strasbourg (FRA) | 22 | 33 | 4 |
| 21 | AVALOS Gabriel | CA Independiente (ARG) | 34 | 23 | 2 |
| 25 | PITTA Isidro | Red Bull Bragantino (BRA) | 26 | 5 | 0 |
Official 26-player World Cup 2026 squad; caps and goals are career totals for the national team.
🧮 How can Paraguay still advance? Open the calculator →🧮 See full Group D scenarios →📖 How World Cup 2026 qualification works10,000 Monte Carlo simulations (public forecasting data + Elo), refreshed hourly
Related commentary
- Stalemate in Paraguay vs Australia Secures Advancement for BothParaguay and Australia fought to a 0-0 draw, moving both teams from high standing to a 100% chance to advance in the tournament.
- An unexpected 0-1 result in the Turkey vs Paraguay showdownParaguay defied the 29% pre-match win probability to stun Turkey, sending their advancement chances soaring from 41% to 78%.
- United States vs Paraguay: A Dominant Statement in Group DThe United States romped to a 4-1 victory, boosting their advancement probability from 77% to 97% while leaving Paraguay’s hopes reeling.