United States
Group D · currently 1st
At the 2026 World Cup, United States has a 96% chance to advance from Group D and a 2.9% chance to win the title, per a 10,000-run simulation.
Latest result · 6/13/2026
96%
Chance to advance
2.9%
Title chance
1600
Model strength rating
Strength rating = the Elo rating the model uses (one input to its probabilities), not an official ranking.
Can United States still advance?
United States clinches a Round-of-32 place with 4 points (goal difference +2) — 1 more point to go.
- 2W: about 100% chance to advance (finishing #1 in the group).
- 1W 1D: about 100% chance to advance (finishing #1 in the group).
- 1W 1L: about 100% chance to advance (finishing #1–2 in the group).
Group D table
United States
Next match
H
Australia--:--Recent form
Official squad
Head coach: Mauricio Pochettino (Argentina)Avg age: 26.4Avg height: 183 cmTotal caps: 977
Goalkeepers (3)
| # | Player | Club | Age | Caps | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TURNER Matt | New England Revolution (USA) | 31 | 54 | 0 |
| 24 | FREESE Matt | New York City FC (USA) | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 | BRADY Chris | Chicago Fire FC (USA) | 22 | 1 | 0 |
Defenders (10)
| # |
|---|
10,000 Monte Carlo simulations (public forecasting data + Elo), refreshed hourly