United States
Group D · currently 1st
At the 2026 World Cup, United States has a 100% chance to advance from Group D and a 0.2% chance to win the title, per a 10,000-run simulation.
Latest result · 6/26/2026
100%
Chance to advance
0.2%
Title chance
1747
Model strength rating
Strength rating = the Elo rating the model uses (one input to its probabilities), not an official ranking.
Group D table
United States
Top two advance directly; third place enters the best-thirds race for 8 spots. Advance chance from 10,000 Monte Carlo sims.
Next match
No upcoming fixtures
Recent form
Official squad
Head coach: Mauricio Pochettino (Argentina)Avg age: 26.4Avg height: 183 cmTotal caps: 977
Goalkeepers (3)
| # | Player | Club | Age | Caps | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TURNER Matt | New England Revolution (USA) | 31 | 54 | 0 |
| 24 | FREESE Matt | New York City FC (USA) | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 | BRADY Chris | Chicago Fire FC (USA) | 22 | 1 | 0 |
Defenders (10)
| # | Player | Club | Age | Caps | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | DEST Sergino | PSV Eindhoven (NED) | 25 | 40 | 3 |
| 3 | RICHARDS Chris | Crystal Palace FC (ENG) | 26 | 37 | 3 |
| 5 | ROBINSON Antonee | Fulham FC (ENG) | 28 | 55 | 5 |
| 6 | TRUSTY Auston | Celtic FC (SCO) | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 | ROBINSON Miles | FC Cincinnatti (USA) | 29 | 40 | 3 |
| 13 | REAM Tim | Charlotte FC (USA) | 38 | 83 | 1 |
| 16 | FREEMAN Alex | Villarreal CF (ESP) | 21 | 18 | 2 |
| 18 | ARFSTEN Max | Columbus Crew (USA) | 25 | 20 | 1 |
| 22 | McKENZIE Mark | Toulouse FC (FRA) | 27 | 29 | 0 |
| 23 | SCALLY Joe | Borussia Mönchengladbach (GER) | 23 | 26 | 0 |
Midfielders (6)
| # | Player | Club | Age | Caps | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | ADAMS Tyler | AFC Bournemouth (ENG) | 27 | 55 | 2 |
| 7 | REYNA Giovanni | Borussia Mönchengladbach (GER) | 23 | 39 | 10 |
| 8 | McKENNIE Weston | Juventus FC (ITA) | 27 | 67 | 12 |
| 14 | BERHALTER Sebastian | Vancouver Whitecaps FC (CAN) | 25 | 14 | 1 |
| 15 | ROLDAN Cristian | Seattle Sounders FC (USA) | 31 | 47 | 0 |
| 17 | TILLMAN Malik | Bayer 04 Leverkusen (GER) | 24 | 31 | 3 |
Forwards (7)
| # | Player | Club | Age | Caps | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | PEPI Ricardo | PSV Eindhoven (NED) | 23 | 38 | 13 |
| 10 | PULISIC Christian | AC Milan (ITA) | 27 | 87 | 33 |
| 11 | AARONSON Brenden | Leeds United FC (ENG) | 25 | 58 | 9 |
| 19 | WRIGHT Haji | Coventry City FC (ENG) | 28 | 20 | 7 |
| 20 | BALOGUN Folarin | AS Monaco (FRA) | 24 | 28 | 11 |
| 21 | WEAH Timothy | Olympique Marseille (FRA) | 26 | 52 | 7 |
| 26 | ZENDEJAS Alex | Club América (MEX) | 28 | 14 | 2 |
Official 26-player World Cup 2026 squad; caps and goals are career totals for the national team.
🧮 How can United States still advance? Open the calculator →🧮 See full Group D scenarios →📖 How World Cup 2026 qualification works10,000 Monte Carlo simulations (public forecasting data + Elo), refreshed hourly
Related commentary
- United States vs Australia: A Clinical Performance in Group DThe United States secured a 2-0 victory, shifting their advancement probability from 95% to 100% and stalling Australia’s momentum.
- United States vs Paraguay: A Dominant Statement in Group DThe United States romped to a 4-1 victory, boosting their advancement probability from 77% to 97% while leaving Paraguay’s hopes reeling.