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Turkey

Group D · currently 4th

At the 2026 World Cup, Turkey has a 0.0% chance to advance from Group D and a 0.0% chance to win the title, per a 10,000-run simulation.

Latest result · 6/26/2026

0.0%
Chance to advance
0.0%
Title chance
1852
Model strength rating

Strength rating = the Elo rating the model uses (one input to its probabilities), not an official ranking.

Group D table

#TeamPPtsGDAdv
1United States36+4100%
2Australia340100%
3Paraguay34-2100%
4Turkey33-20%

Top two advance directly; third place enters the best-thirds race for 8 spots. Advance chance from 10,000 Monte Carlo sims.

Next match

No upcoming fixtures

Recent form

WHUnited States3-2LHParaguay0-1LAAustralia0-2

Official squad

Head coach: Vincenzo Montella (Italy)Avg age: 27.2Avg height: 184 cmTotal caps: 989

Goalkeepers (3)

#PlayerClubAgeCapsGoals
1GUNOK MertFenerbahçe SK (TUR)37370
12BAYINDIR AltayManchester United FC (ENG)28120
23CAKIR UgurcanGalatasaray SK (TUR)30400

Defenders (9)

#PlayerClubAgeCapsGoals
2CELIK ZekiAS Roma (ITA)29623
3DEMIRAL MerihAl Ahli FC (KSA)28646
4SOYUNCU CaglarFenerbahçe SK (TUR)30602
13ELMALI ErenGalatasaray SK (TUR)25230
14BARDAKCI AbdulkerimGalatasaray SK (TUR)31282
15KABAK OzanTSG Hoffenheim (GER)26302
18MULDUR MertFenerbahçe SK (TUR)27463
20KADIOGLU FerdiBrighton & Hove Albion FC (ENG)26312
25AKAYDIN SametÇaykur Rizespor (TUR)32191

Midfielders (5)

#PlayerClubAgeCapsGoals
5OZCAN SalihBorussia Dortmund (GER)28311
6KOKCU OrkunBeşiktaş JK (TUR)25514
10CALHANOGLU HakanFC Internazionale Milano (ITA)3210722
16YUKSEK IsmailFenerbahçe SK (TUR)27331
22AYHAN KaanGalatasaray SK (TUR)31735

Forwards (9)

#PlayerClubAgeCapsGoals
7AKTURKOGLU KeremFenerbahçe SK (TUR)275315
8GULER ArdaReal Madrid C. F. (ESP)21316
9GUL DenizFC Porto (POR)2192
11YILDIZ KenanJuventus FC (ITA)21295
17KAHVECI Irfan CanKasımpaşa SK (TUR)30476
19AKGUN YunusGalatasaray SK (TUR)25204
21YILMAZ Baris AlperGalatasaray SK (TUR)26364
24AYDIN OguzFenerbahçe SK (TUR)25110
26UZUN CanEintracht Frankfurt (GER)2061

Official 26-player World Cup 2026 squad; caps and goals are career totals for the national team.

🧮 How can Turkey still advance? Open the calculator →🧮 See full Group D scenarios →📖 How World Cup 2026 qualification works

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations (public forecasting data + Elo), refreshed hourly

Related commentary

  • An unexpected 0-1 result in the Turkey vs Paraguay showdownParaguay defied the 29% pre-match win probability to stun Turkey, sending their advancement chances soaring from 41% to 78%.
  • Australia vs Turkey: A Stunning Group D Upset Changes EverythingAustralia surged into qualification contention after their 2-0 win over Turkey, shifting their advance probability from 45% to 86% in a major Group D shake-up.