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New Zealand

Group G · currently 4th

At the 2026 World Cup, New Zealand has a 0.0% chance to advance from Group G and a 0.0% chance to win the title, per a 10,000-run simulation.

Latest result · 6/27/2026

0.0%
Chance to advance
0.0%
Title chance
1534
Model strength rating

Strength rating = the Elo rating the model uses (one input to its probabilities), not an official ranking.

Group G table

#TeamPPtsGDAdv
1Belgium35+4100%
2Iran35+1100%
3Egypt34+1100%
4New Zealand31-60%

Top two advance directly; third place enters the best-thirds race for 8 spots. Advance chance from 10,000 Monte Carlo sims.

Next match

No upcoming fixtures

Recent form

LHBelgium1-5LHEgypt1-3DAIran2-2

Official squad

Head coach: Darren Bazeley (England)Avg age: 27.8Avg height: 183 cmTotal caps: 832

Goalkeepers (3)

#PlayerClubAgeCapsGoals
1CROCOMBE MaxMillwall FC (ENG)32240
12PAULSEN AlexLechia Gdańsk (POL)2380
22WOUD MichaelAuckland FC (NZL)2770

Defenders (9)

#PlayerClubAgeCapsGoals
2PAYNE TimWellington Phoenix FC (NZL)32523
3DE VRIES FrancisAuckland FC (NZL)31201
4BINDON TylerShe­eld United FC (ENG)21252
5BOXALL MichaelMinnesota United FC (USA)37641
13CACACE LiberatoWrexham AFC (WAL)25371
15PIJNAKER NandoAuckland FC (NZL)27260
16SURMAN FinnPortland Timbers (USA)22192
24ELLIOT CallanAuckland FC (NZL)26110
26SMITH TommyBraintree Town FC (ENG)36572

Midfielders (9)

#PlayerClubAgeCapsGoals
6BELL JoeViking Stavanger (NOR)27321
8STAMENIC MarkoSwansea City AFC (WAL)24403
10SINGH SarpreetWellington Phoenix FC (NZL)27283
11JUST ElijahMotherwell FC (SCO)26449
14RUFER AlexWellington Phoenix FC (NZL)29260
19OLD BenAS Saint-Etienne (FRA)23242
20McCOWATT CallumSilkeborg IF (DEN)27335
23THOMAS RyanPEC Zwolle (NED)31253
25BAYLISS LachlanNewcastle United Jets FC (AUS)2340

Forwards (5)

#PlayerClubAgeCapsGoals
7ROGERSON LoganAuckland FC (NZL)28182
9WOOD ChrisNottingham Forest FC (ENG)349045
17BARBAROUSES KostaWS Wanderers FC (AUS)367610
18WAINE BenPort Vale FC (ENG)25319
21RANDALL JesseAuckland FC (NZL)23112

Official 26-player World Cup 2026 squad; caps and goals are career totals for the national team.

🧮 How can New Zealand still advance? Open the calculator →🧮 See full Group G scenarios →📖 How World Cup 2026 qualification works

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations (public forecasting data + Elo), refreshed hourly

Related commentary

  • A Decisive New Zealand vs Belgium Scoreline Changes Group GBelgium dominated in a 1-5 victory, shifting their advancement probability from 86% to 100% while New Zealand saw theirs drop from 13% to <1%.
  • Egypt secures progression in clinical New Zealand vs Egypt clashEgypt turns a 72% chance to advance into a perfect 100% certainty following a dominant 1-3 victory over New Zealand in Group G.
  • A Gritty Iran vs New Zealand Draw Rattles Group G StandingsIran's advance probability slipped from 75% to 64% after a surprise 2-2 draw, while New Zealand saw their own chances bump up from 35% to 38%.