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Iran

Group G · currently 2nd

At the 2026 World Cup, Iran has a 100% chance to advance from Group G and a 0.1% chance to win the title, per a 10,000-run simulation.

Latest result · 6/27/2026

100%
Chance to advance
0.1%
Title chance
1764
Model strength rating

Strength rating = the Elo rating the model uses (one input to its probabilities), not an official ranking.

Group G table

#TeamPPtsGDAdv
1Belgium35+4100%
2Iran35+1100%
3Egypt34+1100%
4New Zealand31-60%

Top two advance directly; third place enters the best-thirds race for 8 spots. Advance chance from 10,000 Monte Carlo sims.

Next match

No upcoming fixtures

Recent form

WAEgypt2-1DABelgium0-0DHNew Zealand2-2

Official squad

Head coach: Amir Ghalenoei (Iran)Avg age: 29.8Avg height: 184 cmTotal caps: 1176

Goalkeepers (3)

#PlayerClubAgeCapsGoals
1BEIRANVAND AlirezaTractor Sazi Tabriz FC (IRN)33870
12NIAZMAND PayamPersepolis FC (IRN)31150
22HOSSEINI HosseinSepahan SC (IRN)33140

Defenders (9)

#PlayerClubAgeCapsGoals
2HARDANI SalehEsteghlal Tehran FC (IRN)27181
3HAJISAFI EhsanSepahan SC (IRN)361467
4KHALILZADEH ShojaTractor Sazi Tabriz FC (IRN)37582
5MOHAMMADI MiladPersepolis FC (IRN)32771
13KANANI HosseinPersepolis FC (IRN)32656
17YOUSEFI AryaSepahan SC (IRN)24141
19NEMATI AliFoolad Khuzestan FC (IRN)30180
23REZAEIAN RaminFoolad Khuzestan FC (IRN)36748
25IRI DanialMalavan Anzali FC (IRN)2200

Midfielders (8)

#PlayerClubAgeCapsGoals
6EZATOLAHI SaeidShabab Al Ahli Club (UAE)29842
7JAHANBAKHSH AlirezaFCV Dender EH (BEL)329917
8MOHEBBI MohammadFC Rostov (RUS)273713
14GHODDOS SamanAl Ittihad Kalba SCC (UAE)32683
15CHESHMI RoozbehEsteghlal Tehran FC (IRN)32413
16TORABI MehdiTractor Sazi Tabriz FC (IRN)31527
21GHORBANI MohammadAl Wahda SC (UAE)24160
26RAZAGHINIA AmirmohammadEsteghlal Tehran FC (IRN)2040

Forwards (6)

#PlayerClubAgeCapsGoals
9TAREMI MehdiOlympiacos FC (GRE)3310659
10GHAYEDI MehdiAl Nasr SC (UAE)273010
11ALIPOUR AliPersepolis FC (IRN)30141
18HOSSEINZADEH AmirhosseinTractor Sazi Tabriz FC (IRN)25185
20MOGHANLOO ShahriyarAl Ittihad Kalba SCC (UAE)31212
24DARGAHI DennisStandard Liège (BEL)2900

Official 26-player World Cup 2026 squad; caps and goals are career totals for the national team.

🧮 How can Iran still advance? Open the calculator →🧮 See full Group G scenarios →📖 How World Cup 2026 qualification works

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations (public forecasting data + Elo), refreshed hourly

Related commentary

  • Iran Clinches Spot Following Dramatic Egypt vs Iran ResultIran defied the pre-match split to secure a 1-2 victory, shifting their chance to advance in the tournament from 65% to 100%.
  • A Gritty Iran vs New Zealand Draw Rattles Group G StandingsIran's advance probability slipped from 75% to 64% after a surprise 2-2 draw, while New Zealand saw their own chances bump up from 35% to 38%.