
At the 2026 World Cup, Iran has a 67% chance to advance from Group G and a 2.0% chance to win the title, per a 10,000-run simulation.
Latest result · 6/16/2026
Strength rating = the Elo rating the model uses (one input to its probabilities), not an official ranking.
Iran clinches a Round-of-32 place with 5 points (goal difference +1) — 4 more points to go.
| # | Team | P | Pts | GD | Adv |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iran | 1 | 1 | 0 | 67% |
| 2 | New Zealand | 1 | 1 | 0 | 66% |
| 3 | Egypt | 1 | 1 | 0 | 66% |
| 4 | Belgium | 1 | 1 | 0 | 65% |
Top two advance directly; third place enters the best-thirds race for 8 spots. Advance chance from 10,000 Monte Carlo sims.
Belgium--:--| # | Player | Club | Age | Caps | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BEIRANVAND Alireza | Tractor Sazi Tabriz FC (IRN) | 33 | 87 | 0 |
| 12 | NIAZMAND Payam | Persepolis FC (IRN) | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 | HOSSEINI Hossein | Sepahan SC (IRN) | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| # |
|---|
10,000 Monte Carlo simulations (public forecasting data + Elo), refreshed hourly
| Player |
|---|
| Club |
|---|
| Age |
|---|
| Caps |
|---|
| Goals |
|---|
| 2 | HARDANI Saleh | Esteghlal Tehran FC (IRN) | 27 | 18 | 1 |
| 3 | HAJISAFI Ehsan | Sepahan SC (IRN) | 36 | 146 | 7 |
| 4 | KHALILZADEH Shoja | Tractor Sazi Tabriz FC (IRN) | 37 | 58 | 2 |
| 5 | MOHAMMADI Milad | Persepolis FC (IRN) | 32 | 77 | 1 |
| 13 | KANANI Hossein | Persepolis FC (IRN) | 32 | 65 | 6 |
| 17 | YOUSEFI Arya | Sepahan SC (IRN) | 24 | 14 | 1 |
| 19 | NEMATI Ali | Foolad Khuzestan FC (IRN) | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 | REZAEIAN Ramin | Foolad Khuzestan FC (IRN) | 36 | 74 | 8 |
| 25 | IRI Danial | Malavan Anzali FC (IRN) | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| # | Player | Club | Age | Caps | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | EZATOLAHI Saeid | Shabab Al Ahli Club (UAE) | 29 | 84 | 2 |
| 7 | JAHANBAKHSH Alireza | FCV Dender EH (BEL) | 32 | 99 | 17 |
| 8 | MOHEBBI Mohammad | FC Rostov (RUS) | 27 | 37 | 13 |
| 14 | GHODDOS Saman | Al Ittihad Kalba SCC (UAE) | 32 | 68 | 3 |
| 15 | CHESHMI Roozbeh | Esteghlal Tehran FC (IRN) | 32 | 41 | 3 |
| 16 | TORABI Mehdi | Tractor Sazi Tabriz FC (IRN) | 31 | 52 | 7 |
| 21 | GHORBANI Mohammad | Al Wahda SC (UAE) | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 | RAZAGHINIA Amirmohammad | Esteghlal Tehran FC (IRN) | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| # | Player | Club | Age | Caps | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | TAREMI Mehdi | Olympiacos FC (GRE) | 33 | 106 | 59 |
| 10 | GHAYEDI Mehdi | Al Nasr SC (UAE) | 27 | 30 | 10 |
| 11 | ALIPOUR Ali | Persepolis FC (IRN) | 30 | 14 | 1 |
| 18 | HOSSEINZADEH Amirhossein | Tractor Sazi Tabriz FC (IRN) | 25 | 18 | 5 |
| 20 | MOGHANLOO Shahriyar | Al Ittihad Kalba SCC (UAE) | 31 | 21 | 2 |
| 24 | DARGAHI Dennis | Standard Liège (BEL) | 29 | 0 | 0 |
Official 26-player World Cup 2026 squad; caps and goals are career totals for the national team.