Iran
Group G · currently 1st
At the 2026 World Cup, Iran has a 67% chance to advance from Group G and a 2.0% chance to win the title, per a 10,000-run simulation.
Latest result · 6/16/2026
67%
Chance to advance
2.0%
Title chance
1600
Model strength rating
Strength rating = the Elo rating the model uses (one input to its probabilities), not an official ranking.
Can Iran still advance?
Iran clinches a Round-of-32 place with 5 points (goal difference +1) — 4 more points to go.
- 2W: about 100% chance to advance (finishing #1–2 in the group).
- 1W 1D: about 100% chance to advance (finishing #1–2 in the group).
- 1W 1L: about 100% chance to advance (finishing #2–3 in the group).
Group G table
| # | Team | P | Pts | GD | Adv |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Iran | 1 | 1 | 0 | 67% |
| 2 |  New Zealand | 1 | 1 | 0 | 66% |
| 3 |  Egypt | 1 | 1 | 0 | 66% |
| 4 |  Belgium | 1 | 1 | 0 | 65% |
Top two advance directly; third place enters the best-thirds race for 8 spots. Advance chance from 10,000 Monte Carlo sims.
Next match
ABelgium--:--Recent form
Official squad
Head coach: Amir Ghalenoei (Iran)Avg age: 29.8Avg height: 184 cmTotal caps: 1176
Goalkeepers (3)
| # | Player | Club | Age | Caps | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BEIRANVAND Alireza | Tractor Sazi Tabriz FC (IRN) | 33 | 87 | 0 |
| 12 | NIAZMAND Payam | Persepolis FC (IRN) | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 | HOSSEINI Hossein | Sepahan SC (IRN) | 33 | 14 | 0 |
Defenders (9)
| # |
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10,000 Monte Carlo simulations (public forecasting data + Elo), refreshed hourly