
At the 2026 World Cup, Belgium has a 87% chance to advance from Group G and a 1.6% chance to win the title, per a 10,000-run simulation.
Latest result · 6/15/2026
Strength rating = the Elo rating the model uses (one input to its probabilities), not an official ranking.
| # | Team | P | Pts | GD | Adv |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iran | 1 | 1 | 0 | 63% |
| 2 | New Zealand | 1 | 1 | 0 | 39% |
| 3 | Belgium | 1 | 1 | 0 | 87% |
| 4 | Egypt | 1 | 1 | 0 | 73% |
Top two advance directly; third place enters the best-thirds race for 8 spots. Advance chance from 10,000 Monte Carlo sims.
Iran--:--| # | Player | Club | Age | Caps | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | COURTOIS Thibaut | Real Madrid C. F. (ESP) | 34 | 109 | 0 |
| 12 | LAMMENS Senne | Manchester United FC (ENG) | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | PENDERS Mike | RC Strasbourg (FRA) | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| # |
|---|
10,000 Monte Carlo simulations (public forecasting data + Elo), refreshed hourly
| Player |
|---|
| Club |
|---|
| Age |
|---|
| Caps |
|---|
| Goals |
|---|
| 2 | DEBAST Zeno | Sporting CP (POR) | 22 | 26 | 1 |
| 3 | THEATE Arthur | Eintracht Frankfurt (GER) | 26 | 33 | 1 |
| 4 | MECHELE Brandon | Club Brugge (BEL) | 33 | 9 | 1 |
| 5 | DE CUYPER Maxim | Brighton & Hove Albion FC (ENG) | 25 | 19 | 4 |
| 15 | MEUNIER Thomas | Lille OSC (FRA) | 34 | 80 | 10 |
| 16 | DE WINTER Koni | AC Milan (ITA) | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 | SEYS Joaquin | Club Brugge (BEL) | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 | CASTAGNE Timothy | Fulham FC (ENG) | 30 | 63 | 2 |
| 25 | NGOY Nathan | Lille OSC (FRA) | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| # | Player | Club | Age | Caps | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | WITSEL Axel | Girona FC (ESP) | 37 | 138 | 12 |
| 7 | DE BRUYNE Kevin | SSC Napoli (ITA) | 34 | 119 | 37 |
| 8 | TIELEMANS Youri | Aston Villa FC (ENG) | 29 | 85 | 13 |
| 19 | MOREIRA Diego | RC Strasbourg (FRA) | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 | VANAKEN Hans | Club Brugge (BEL) | 33 | 34 | 7 |
| 22 | SAELEMAEKERS Alexis | AC Milan (ITA) | 26 | 24 | 2 |
| 23 | RASKIN Nicolas | Rangers FC (SCO) | 25 | 13 | 2 |
| 24 | ONANA Amadou | Aston Villa FC (ENG) | 24 | 29 | 1 |
| # | Player | Club | Age | Caps | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | LUKAKU Romelu | SSC Napoli (ITA) | 33 | 126 | 90 |
| 10 | TROSSARD Leandro | Arsenal FC (ENG) | 31 | 51 | 12 |
| 11 | DOKU Jeremy | Manchester City FC (ENG) | 24 | 43 | 7 |
| 14 | LUKEBAKIO Dodi | SL Benfica (POR) | 28 | 30 | 6 |
| 17 | DE KETELAERE Charles | Atalanta Bergamo (ITA) | 25 | 30 | 6 |
| 26 | FERNANDEZ-PARDO Matias | Lille OSC (FRA) | 21 | 2 | 0 |
Official 26-player World Cup 2026 squad; caps and goals are career totals for the national team.