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Belgium

Group G · currently 1st

At the 2026 World Cup, Belgium has a 100% chance to advance from Group G and a 2.6% chance to win the title, per a 10,000-run simulation.

Latest result · 6/27/2026

100%
Chance to advance
2.6%
Title chance
1947
Model strength rating

Strength rating = the Elo rating the model uses (one input to its probabilities), not an official ranking.

Group G table

#TeamPPtsGDAdv
1Belgium35+4100%
2Iran35+1100%
3Egypt34+1100%
4New Zealand31-60%

Top two advance directly; third place enters the best-thirds race for 8 spots. Advance chance from 10,000 Monte Carlo sims.

Next match

No upcoming fixtures

Recent form

WANew Zealand5-1DHIran0-0DHEgypt1-1

Official squad

Head coach: Rudi Garcia (France)Avg age: 27.1Avg height: 186 cmTotal caps: 1085

Goalkeepers (3)

#PlayerClubAgeCapsGoals
1COURTOIS ThibautReal Madrid C. F. (ESP)341090
12LAMMENS SenneManchester United FC (ENG)2320
13PENDERS MikeRC Strasbourg (FRA)2000

Defenders (9)

#PlayerClubAgeCapsGoals
2DEBAST ZenoSporting CP (POR)22261
3THEATE ArthurEintracht Frankfurt (GER)26331
4MECHELE BrandonClub Brugge (BEL)3391
5DE CUYPER MaximBrighton & Hove Albion FC (ENG)25194
15MEUNIER ThomasLille OSC (FRA)348010
16DE WINTER KoniAC Milan (ITA)2380
18SEYS JoaquinClub Brugge (BEL)2150
21CASTAGNE TimothyFulham FC (ENG)30632
25NGOY NathanLille OSC (FRA)2340

Midfielders (8)

#PlayerClubAgeCapsGoals
6WITSEL AxelGirona FC (ESP)3713812
7DE BRUYNE KevinSSC Napoli (ITA)3411937
8TIELEMANS YouriAston Villa FC (ENG)298513
19MOREIRA DiegoRC Strasbourg (FRA)2130
20VANAKEN HansClub Brugge (BEL)33347
22SAELEMAEKERS AlexisAC Milan (ITA)26242
23RASKIN NicolasRangers FC (SCO)25132
24ONANA AmadouAston Villa FC (ENG)24291

Forwards (6)

#PlayerClubAgeCapsGoals
9LUKAKU RomeluSSC Napoli (ITA)3312690
10TROSSARD LeandroArsenal FC (ENG)315112
11DOKU JeremyManchester City FC (ENG)24437
14LUKEBAKIO DodiSL Benfica (POR)28306
17DE KETELAERE CharlesAtalanta Bergamo (ITA)25306
26FERNANDEZ-PARDO MatiasLille OSC (FRA)2120

Official 26-player World Cup 2026 squad; caps and goals are career totals for the national team.

🧮 How can Belgium still advance? Open the calculator →🧮 See full Group G scenarios →📖 How World Cup 2026 qualification works

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations (public forecasting data + Elo), refreshed hourly

Related commentary

  • A Decisive New Zealand vs Belgium Scoreline Changes Group GBelgium dominated in a 1-5 victory, shifting their advancement probability from 86% to 100% while New Zealand saw theirs drop from 13% to <1%.