Senegal
Group I · currently 3rd
At the 2026 World Cup, Senegal has a 0.0% chance to advance from Group I and a 0.0% chance to win the title, per a 10,000-run simulation.
Latest result · 6/26/2026
0.0%
Chance to advance
0.0%
Title chance
1816
Model strength rating
Strength rating = the Elo rating the model uses (one input to its probabilities), not an official ranking.
Group I table
Senegal
Top two advance directly; third place enters the best-thirds race for 8 spots. Advance chance from 10,000 Monte Carlo sims.
Next match
No upcoming fixtures
Recent form
Official squad
Head coach: THIAW Pape Pape Bouna THIAW (Senegal)Avg age: 26.6Avg height: 184 cmTotal caps: 1016
Goalkeepers (3)
| # | Player | Club | Age | Caps | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DIOUF Yehvann | OGC Nice (FRA) | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | MENDY Edouard | Al Ahli FC (KSA) | 34 | 58 | 0 |
| 23 | DIAW Mory | Le Havre AC (FRA) | 32 | 5 | 0 |
Defenders (8)
| # | Player | Club | Age | Caps | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | SARR Mamadou | Chelsea FC (ENG) | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 3 | KOULIBALY Kalidou | Al Hilal SC (KSA) | 34 | 104 | 2 |
| 4 | SECK Abdoulaye | Maccabi Haifa FC (ISR) | 34 | 23 | 4 |
| 14 | JAKOBS Ismail | Galatasaray SK (TUR) | 26 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 | DIATTA Krepin | AS Monaco (FRA) | 27 | 62 | 2 |
| 19 | NIAKHATE Moussa | Olympique Lyonnais (FRA) | 30 | 32 | 0 |
| 24 | MENDY Antoine | OGC Nice (FRA) | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 | DIOUF El Hadji Malick | West Ham United FC (ENG) | 21 | 20 | 1 |
Midfielders (7)
| # | Player | Club | Age | Caps | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | GUEYE Idrissa Gana | Everton FC (ENG) | 36 | 136 | 7 |
| 6 | CISS Pathe | Rayo Vallecano (ESP) | 32 | 31 | 0 |
| 8 | CAMARA Lamine | AS Monaco (FRA) | 22 | 45 | 7 |
| 17 | SARR Pape Matar | Tottenham Hotspur FC (ENG) | 23 | 41 | 4 |
| 21 | DIARRA Habib | Sunderland AFC (ENG) | 22 | 21 | 4 |
| 22 | NDIAYE Bara Sapoko | FC Bayern München (GER) | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 | GUEYE Pape | Villarreal CF (ESP) | 27 | 42 | 6 |
Forwards (8)
| # | Player | Club | Age | Caps | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | DIAO Assane | Como (ITA) | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 9 | DIENG Bamba | FC Lorient (FRA) | 26 | 23 | 2 |
| 10 | MANE Sadio | Al Nassr FC (KSA) | 34 | 130 | 54 |
| 11 | JACKSON Nicolas | FC Bayern München (GER) | 24 | 34 | 8 |
| 12 | NDIAYE Cherif | Samsunspor (TUR) | 30 | 19 | 4 |
| 13 | NDIAYE Iliman | Everton FC (ENG) | 26 | 41 | 4 |
| 18 | SARR Ismaila | Crystal Palace FC (ENG) | 28 | 84 | 19 |
| 20 | MBAYE Ibrahim | Paris Saint-Germain (FRA) | 18 | 11 | 3 |
Official 26-player World Cup 2026 squad; caps and goals are career totals for the national team.
🧮 How can Senegal still advance? Open the calculator →🧮 See full Group I scenarios →📖 How World Cup 2026 qualification works10,000 Monte Carlo simulations (public forecasting data + Elo), refreshed hourly
Related commentary
- Senegal vs Iraq: A Staggering Result Reshapes Group ISenegal crushed Iraq 5-0, surging from a 39% chance to reach the next round all the way to 96% following this dominant Group Stage performance.
- France vs Senegal: Les Bleus Flex Their Muscles in Group IFrance cruise to a 3-1 win, shifting their advancement probability from 92% to 99% while Senegal slides from 71% to 58% in our forecast.