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Iraq

Group I · currently 4th

At the 2026 World Cup, Iraq has a 0.0% chance to advance from Group I and a 0.0% chance to win the title, per a 10,000-run simulation.

Latest result · 6/26/2026

0.0%
Chance to advance
0.0%
Title chance
1561
Model strength rating

Strength rating = the Elo rating the model uses (one input to its probabilities), not an official ranking.

Group I table

#TeamPPtsGDAdv
1France39+8100%
2Norway36+1100%
3Senegal33+20%
4Iraq30-110%

Top two advance directly; third place enters the best-thirds race for 8 spots. Advance chance from 10,000 Monte Carlo sims.

Next match

No upcoming fixtures

Recent form

LASenegal0-5LAFrance0-3LHNorway1-4

Official squad

Head coach: Graham Arnold (Australia)Avg age: 26.4Avg height: 183 cmTotal caps: 829

Goalkeepers (3)

#PlayerClubAgeCapsGoals
1FAHAD TALIBAl Talaba SC (IRQ)31210
12JALAL HASSANAl Zawra'a SC (IRQ)351040
22AHMED BASILAl Shorta SC (IRQ)29160

Defenders (9)

#PlayerClubAgeCapsGoals
2REBIN SULAKAPort FC (THA)34561
3HUSSEIN ALIPogoń Szczecin (POL)24271
4ZAID TAHSEENPakhtakor Tashkent FK (UZB)25281
5AKAM HASHIMAl Zawra'a SC (IRQ)27141
6MUNAF YOUNUSAl Shorta SC (IRQ)29341
15AHMED MAKNAZIAl Karma SC (IRQ)2470
23MERCHAS DOSKIFC Viktoria Plzeň (CZE)26311
25MUSTAFA SAADOONAl Shorta SC (IRQ)25170
26FRANS PUTROSPersib Bandung (IDN)32280

Midfielders (7)

#PlayerClubAgeCapsGoals
7YOUSSEF AMYNAEK Larnaca FC (CYP)22272
8IBRAHIM BAYESHAl Dhafra SCC (UAE)26768
14ZIDANE IQBALFC Utrecht (NED)23252
16AMIR ALAMMARIKS Cracovia (POL)28513
19KEVIN YAKOBAarhus GF (DEN)2590
20AIMAR SHERSarpsborg 08 FF (NOR)2370
24ZAID ISMAELAl Talaba SC (IRQ)2460

Forwards (7)

#PlayerClubAgeCapsGoals
9ALI ALHAMADILuton Town FC (ENG)24205
10MOHANAD ALIDibba FC (UAE)257226
11AHMED QASEMNashville SC (USA)2230
13ALI YOUSIFAl Talaba SC (IRQ)3071
17ALI JASIMAl Najmah SC (KSA)22362
18AYMEN HUSSEINAl Karma SC (IRQ)309533
21MARKO FARJIVenezia FC (ITA)22120

Official 26-player World Cup 2026 squad; caps and goals are career totals for the national team.

🧮 How can Iraq still advance? Open the calculator →🧮 See full Group I scenarios →📖 How World Cup 2026 qualification works

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations (public forecasting data + Elo), refreshed hourly

Related commentary

  • Senegal vs Iraq: A Staggering Result Reshapes Group ISenegal crushed Iraq 5-0, surging from a 39% chance to reach the next round all the way to 96% following this dominant Group Stage performance.
  • A dominant display: Iraq vs Norway result reshapes Group INorway flexes their muscles in a 1-4 rout over Iraq, surging their advancement probability from 79% to 97% as the group landscape shifts dramatically.