Sweden
Group F · currently 3rd
At the 2026 World Cup, Sweden has a 100% chance to advance from Group F and a 0.1% chance to win the title, per a 10,000-run simulation.
Latest result · 6/26/2026
100%
Chance to advance
0.1%
Title chance
1731
Model strength rating
Strength rating = the Elo rating the model uses (one input to its probabilities), not an official ranking.
Group F table
| # | Team | P | Pts | GD | Adv |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Netherlands | 3 | 7 | +6 | 100% |
| 2 |  Japan | 3 | 5 | +4 | 100% |
| 3 |  Sweden | 3 | 4 | 0 | 100% |
| 4 |  Tunisia | 3 | 0 | -10 | 0% |
Top two advance directly; third place enters the best-thirds race for 8 spots. Advance chance from 10,000 Monte Carlo sims.
Next match
No upcoming fixtures
Recent form
Official squad
Head coach: Graham Potter (England)Avg age: 27.0Avg height: 186 cmTotal caps: 531
Goalkeepers (3)
| # | Player | Club | Age | Caps | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | WIDELL ZETTERSTROM Jacob | Derby County FC (ENG) | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 | JOHANSSON Viktor | Stoke City FC (ENG) | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 | NORDFELDT Kristoffer | AIK Stockholm (SWE) | 36 | 22 | 0 |
Defenders (11)
| # | Player | Club | Age | Caps | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | LAGERBIELKE Gustaf | SC Braga (POR) | 26 | 12 | 2 |
| 3 | LINDELOF Victor | Aston Villa FC (ENG) | 31 | 77 | 3 |
| 4 | HIEN Isak | Atalanta Bergamo (ITA) | 27 | 30 | 0 |
| 5 | GUDMUNDSSON Gabriel | Leeds United FC (ENG) | 27 | 25 | 0 |
| 6 | JOHANSSON Herman | FC Dallas (USA) | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 8 | SVENSSON Daniel | Borussia Dortmund (GER) | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 | EKDAL Hjalmar | Burnley FC (ENG) | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 | STARFELT Carl | RC Celta Vigo (ESP) | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 | SMITH Eric | FC St. Pauli (GER) | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 | BERNHARDSSON Alexander | Holstein Kiel (GER) | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 | STROUD Elliot | Mjällby AIF (SWE) | 23 | 2 | 0 |
Midfielders (7)
| # | Player | Club | Age | Caps | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | BERGVALL Lucas | Tottenham Hotspur FC (ENG) | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 | NYGREN Benjamin | Celtic FC (SCO) | 24 | 12 | 3 |
| 13 | SEMA Ken | Pafos FC (CYP) | 32 | 32 | 5 |
| 16 | KARLSTROM Jesper | Udinese (ITA) | 30 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 | AYARI Yasin | Brighton & Hove Albion FC (ENG) | 22 | 22 | 5 |
| 19 | SVANBERG Mattias | VfL Wolfsburg (GER) | 27 | 41 | 3 |
| 22 | ZENELI Besfort | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise (BEL) | 23 | 8 | 0 |
Forwards (5)
| # | Player | Club | Age | Caps | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | ISAK Alexander | Liverpool FC (ENG) | 26 | 59 | 18 |
| 11 | ELANGA Anthony | Newcastle United FC (ENG) | 24 | 31 | 6 |
| 17 | GYOKERES Viktor | Arsenal FC (ENG) | 28 | 34 | 21 |
| 25 | NILSSON Gustaf | Club Brugge (BEL) | 29 | 9 | 4 |
| 26 | ALI Taha | Malmö FF (SWE) | 27 | 2 | 0 |
Official 26-player World Cup 2026 squad; caps and goals are career totals for the national team.
🧮 How can Sweden still advance? Open the calculator →🧮 See full Group F scenarios →📖 How World Cup 2026 qualification works10,000 Monte Carlo simulations (public forecasting data + Elo), refreshed hourly
Related commentary
- A Stalemate in Japan vs Sweden Shakes Up the Group F ForecastA gritty draw in Japan vs Sweden means Sweden jumps from 89% to 100% in their quest to advance, while Japan's title hopes dip from 2% to 1%.
- A Dominant 5-1 Result Shifts Sweden vs Tunisia Group F OutlookSweden cruised to a 5-1 victory over Tunisia, surging their advancement probability from 53% to 94% as Tunisia’s chances plummeted to 11%.