Netherlands
Group F · currently 2nd
At the 2026 World Cup, Netherlands has a 90% chance to advance from Group F and a 3.1% chance to win the title, per a 10,000-run simulation.
Latest result · 6/14/2026
90%
Chance to advance
3.1%
Title chance
1944
Model strength rating
Strength rating = the Elo rating the model uses (one input to its probabilities), not an official ranking.
Can Netherlands still advance?
Netherlands clinches a Round-of-32 place with 4 points (goal difference 0) — 3 more points to go.
- 2W: about 100% chance to advance (finishing #1–2 in the group).
- 1W 1D: about 100% chance to advance (finishing #1–2 in the group).
- 1W 1L: about 100% chance to advance (finishing #2–3 in the group).
Group F table
Netherlands
Top two advance directly; third place enters the best-thirds race for 8 spots. Advance chance from 10,000 Monte Carlo sims.
Next match
H
Sweden--:--Recent form
Official squad
Head coach: Ronald Koeman (Netherlands)Avg age: 27.3Avg height: 185 cmTotal caps: 877
Goalkeepers (3)
| # | Player | Club | Age | Caps | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VERBRUGGEN Bart | Brighton & Hove Albion FC (ENG) | 23 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 | ROEFS Robin | Sunderland AFC (ENG) | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 | FLEKKEN Mark | Bayer 04 Leverkusen (GER) | 32 | 12 | 0 |
Defenders (8)
| # |
|---|
10,000 Monte Carlo simulations (public forecasting data + Elo), refreshed hourly