
At the 2026 World Cup, South Korea has a 93% chance to advance from Group A and a 0.4% chance to win the title, per a 10,000-run simulation.
Latest result · 6/19/2026
Strength rating = the Elo rating the model uses (one input to its probabilities), not an official ranking.
| # | Team | P | Pts | GD | Adv |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico | 2 | 6 | +3 | 100% |
| 2 | South Korea | 2 | 3 | 0 | 93% |
| 3 | Czechia | 2 | 1 | -1 | 22% |
| 4 | South Africa | 2 | 1 | -2 | 16% |
Top two advance directly; third place enters the best-thirds race for 8 spots. Advance chance from 10,000 Monte Carlo sims.
South Africa--:--| # | Player | Club | Age | Caps | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KIM Seunggyu | FC Tokyo (JPN) | 35 | 87 | 0 |
| 12 | SONG Bumkeun | Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC (KOR) | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 | JO Hyeonwoo | Ulsan HD (KOR) | 34 | 48 | 0 |
| # |
|---|
10,000 Monte Carlo simulations (public forecasting data + Elo), refreshed hourly
| Player |
|---|
| Club |
|---|
| Age |
|---|
| Caps |
|---|
| Goals |
|---|
| 2 | LEE Hanbeom | FC Midtjylland (DEN) | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 4 | KIM Minjae | FC Bayern München (GER) | 29 | 80 | 4 |
| 5 | KIM Taehyeon | Kashima Antlers (JPN) | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 | LEE Taeseok | FK Austria Wien (AUT) | 23 | 16 | 1 |
| 14 | CHO Wije | Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC (KOR) | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | KIM Moonhwan | Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (KOR) | 30 | 36 | 0 |
| 16 | PARK Jinseob | Zhejiang FC (CHN) | 30 | 15 | 1 |
| 22 | SEOL Youngwoo | FK Crvena Zvezda (SRB) | 27 | 35 | 0 |
| 23 | CASTROP Jens | Borussia Mönchengladbach (GER) | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| # | Player | Club | Age | Caps | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | LEE Gihyuk | Gangwon FC (KOR) | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 6 | HWANG Inbeom | Feyenoord Rotterdam (NED) | 29 | 74 | 7 |
| 8 | PAIK Seungho | Birmingham City FC (ENG) | 29 | 28 | 3 |
| 10 | LEE Jaesung | 1. FSV Mainz 05 (GER) | 33 | 106 | 15 |
| 11 | HWANG Heechan | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (ENG) | 30 | 80 | 17 |
| 17 | BAE Junho | Stoke City FC (ENG) | 22 | 13 | 2 |
| 19 | LEE Kangin | Paris Saint-Germain (FRA) | 25 | 48 | 10 |
| 20 | YANG Hyunjun | Celtic FC (SCO) | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 | KIM Jingyu | Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC (KOR) | 29 | 23 | 3 |
| 25 | EOM Jisung | Swansea City AFC (WAL) | 24 | 10 | 2 |
| 26 | LEE Donggyeong | Ulsan HD (KOR) | 28 | 18 | 4 |
| # | Player | Club | Age | Caps | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | SON Heungmin | LAFC (USA) | 33 | 145 | 56 |
| 9 | CHO Guesung | FC Midtjylland (DEN) | 28 | 44 | 12 |
| 18 | OH Hyeongyu | Beşiktaş JK (TUR) | 25 | 28 | 7 |
Official 26-player World Cup 2026 squad; caps and goals are career totals for the national team.