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South Africa

Group A · currently 2nd

At the 2026 World Cup, South Africa has a 100% chance to advance from Group A and a 0.0% chance to win the title, per a 10,000-run simulation.

Latest result · 6/25/2026

100%
Chance to advance
0.0%
Title chance
1560
Model strength rating

Strength rating = the Elo rating the model uses (one input to its probabilities), not an official ranking.

Group A table

#TeamPPtsGDAdv
1Mexico39+6100%
2South Africa34-1100%
3South Korea33-10%
4Czechia31-40%

Top two advance directly; third place enters the best-thirds race for 8 spots. Advance chance from 10,000 Monte Carlo sims.

Next match

No upcoming fixtures

Recent form

WHSouth Korea1-0DACzechia1-1LAMexico0-2

Official squad

Head coach: Hugo Broos (Belgium)Avg age: 26.3Avg height: 179 cmTotal caps: 538

Goalkeepers (3)

#PlayerClubAgeCapsGoals
1WILLIAMS RonwenMamelodi Sundowns FC (RSA)34650
16CHAINE SiphoOrlando Pirates FC (RSA)2940
22GOSS RicardoSiwelele FC (RSA)3270

Defenders (10)

#PlayerClubAgeCapsGoals
2MATULUDI ThabangPolokwane City FC (RSA)2730
3NDAMANE KhulumaniMamelodi Sundowns FC (RSA)2250
6MODIBA AubreyMamelodi Sundowns FC (RSA)30493
14MBOKAZI MbekezeliChicago Fire FC (USA)20111
18KABINI SamukeleMolde FK (NOR)2260
19SIBISI NkosinathiOrlando Pirates FC (RSA)30220
20MUDAU KhulisoMamelodi Sundowns FC (RSA)31351
21OKON ImeHannover 96 (GER)2291
24MAKHANYA OlwethuPhiladelphia Union (USA)2210
26CROSS BradleyKaizer Chiefs FC (RSA)2510

Midfielders (5)

#PlayerClubAgeCapsGoals
4MOKOENA TebohoMamelodi Sundowns FC (RSA)29589
5MBATHA ThalenteOrlando Pirates FC (RSA)26173
11ZWANE ThembaMamelodi Sundowns FC (RSA)365612
13SITHOLE SphepheloCD Tondela (POR)27301
23ADAMS JaydenMamelodi Sundowns FC (RSA)2592

Forwards (8)

#PlayerClubAgeCapsGoals
7APPOLLIS OswinOrlando Pirates FC (RSA)24288
8MOREMI TshepangOrlando Pirates FC (RSA)25101
9FOSTER LyleBurnley FC (ENG)253210
10MOFOKENG RelebohileOrlando Pirates FC (RSA)21141
12MASEKO ThapeloAEL Limassol (CYP)2281
15RAYNERS IqraamMamelodi Sundowns FC (RSA)30215
17MAKGOPA EvidenceOrlando Pirates FC (RSA)26286
25SEBELEBELE KamogeloOrlando Pirates FC (RSA)2391

Official 26-player World Cup 2026 squad; caps and goals are career totals for the national team.

🧮 How can South Africa still advance? Open the calculator →🧮 See full Group A scenarios →📖 How World Cup 2026 qualification works

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations (public forecasting data + Elo), refreshed hourly

Related commentary

  • A Stunning Result in South Africa vs South Korea Group StageSouth Africa pulled off a massive upset against South Korea, swinging their probability of advancing from 17% to 100% after a 1-0 victory.
  • A frustrating stalemate in Czechia vs South Africa group clashThe 1-1 draw in Czechia vs South Africa sent shockwaves through Group A, as Czechia's advance probability plummeted from 45% to 22%.