Mexico
Group A · currently 1st
At the 2026 World Cup, Mexico has a 100% chance to advance from Group A and a 1.2% chance to win the title, per a 10,000-run simulation.
Latest result · 6/25/2026
100%
Chance to advance
1.2%
Title chance
1913
Model strength rating
Strength rating = the Elo rating the model uses (one input to its probabilities), not an official ranking.
Group A table
| # | Team | P | Pts | GD | Adv |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Mexico | 3 | 9 | +6 | 100% |
| 2 |  South Africa | 3 | 4 | -1 | 100% |
| 3 |  South Korea | 3 | 3 | -1 | 0% |
| 4 |  Czechia | 3 | 1 | -4 | 0% |
Top two advance directly; third place enters the best-thirds race for 8 spots. Advance chance from 10,000 Monte Carlo sims.
Next match
No upcoming fixtures
Recent form
Official squad
Head coach: Javier Aguirre (Mexico)Avg age: 27.5Avg height: 180 cmTotal caps: 1237
Goalkeepers (3)
| # | Player | Club | Age | Caps | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RANGEL Raul | CD Guadalajara (MEX) | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 | ACEVEDO Carlos | Club Santos Laguna (MEX) | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 | OCHOA Guillermo | AEL Limassol (CYP) | 40 | 153 | 0 |
Defenders (7)
| # | Player | Club | Age | Caps | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | SANCHEZ Jorge | PAOK Saloniki (GRE) | 28 | 59 | 3 |
| 3 | MONTES Cesar | FC Lokomotiv Moscow (RUS) | 29 | 69 | 4 |
| 4 | ALVAREZ Edson | Fenerbahçe SK (TUR) | 28 | 100 | 7 |
| 5 | VASQUEZ Johan | Genoa CFC (ITA) | 27 | 47 | 3 |
| 15 | REYES Israel | Club América (MEX) | 26 | 35 | 2 |
| 20 | CHAVEZ Mateo | AZ Alkmaar (NED) | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 | GALLARDO Jesus | Deportivo Toluca FC (MEX) | 31 | 123 | 3 |
Midfielders (8)
| # | Player | Club | Age | Caps | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | LIRA Erik | CF Cruz Azul (MEX) | 26 | 26 | 0 |
| 7 | ROMO Luis | CD Guadalajara (MEX) | 31 | 62 | 4 |
| 8 | FIDALGO Alvaro | Real Betis (ESP) | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 | PINEDA Orbelin | AEK Athens (GRE) | 30 | 92 | 12 |
| 18 | VARGAS Obed | Atlético De Madrid (ESP) | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 | MORA Gilberto | Club Tijuana (MEX) | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 | CHAVEZ Luis | FC Dynamo Moscow (RUS) | 30 | 46 | 5 |
| 26 | GUTIERREZ Brian | CD Guadalajara (MEX) | 22 | 8 | 2 |
Forwards (8)
| # | Player | Club | Age | Caps | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | JIMENEZ Raul | Fulham FC (ENG) | 35 | 127 | 46 |
| 10 | VEGA Alexis | Deportivo Toluca FC (MEX) | 28 | 53 | 7 |
| 11 | GIMENEZ Santiago | AC Milan (ITA) | 25 | 47 | 6 |
| 14 | GONZALEZ Armando | CD Guadalajara (MEX) | 23 | 8 | 1 |
| 16 | QUINONES Julian | Al Qadsiah FC (KSA) | 29 | 23 | 3 |
| 21 | HUERTA Cesar | RSC Anderlecht (BEL) | 25 | 26 | 3 |
| 22 | MARTINEZ Guillermo | Pumas UNAM (MEX) | 31 | 12 | 3 |
| 25 | ALVARADO Roberto | CD Guadalajara (MEX) | 27 | 69 | 6 |
Official 26-player World Cup 2026 squad; caps and goals are career totals for the national team.
🧮 How can Mexico still advance? Open the calculator →🧮 See full Group A scenarios →📖 How World Cup 2026 qualification works10,000 Monte Carlo simulations (public forecasting data + Elo), refreshed hourly