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Germany

Group E · currently 1st

At the 2026 World Cup, Germany has a 100% chance to advance from Group E and a 1.4% chance to win the title, per a 10,000-run simulation.

Latest result · 6/25/2026

100%
Chance to advance
1.4%
Title chance
1908
Model strength rating

Strength rating = the Elo rating the model uses (one input to its probabilities), not an official ranking.

Group E table

#TeamPPtsGDAdv
1Germany36+6100%
2Ivory Coast36+2100%
3Ecuador340100%
4Curaçao31-80%

Top two advance directly; third place enters the best-thirds race for 8 spots. Advance chance from 10,000 Monte Carlo sims.

Next match

No upcoming fixtures

Recent form

LAEcuador1-2WHIvory Coast2-1WHCuraçao7-1

Official squad

Head coach: Julian Nagelsmann (Germany)Avg age: 27.6Avg height: 186 cmTotal caps: 860

Goalkeepers (3)

#PlayerClubAgeCapsGoals
1NEUER ManuelFC Bayern München (GER)401250
12BAUMANN OliverTSG Hoffenheim (GER)36130
21NUEBEL AlexanderVfB Stuttgart (GER)2930

Defenders (8)

#PlayerClubAgeCapsGoals
2RUEDIGER AntonioReal Madrid C. F. (ESP)33833
3ANTON WaldemarBorussia Dortmund (GER)29140
4TAH JonathanFC Bayern München (GER)30481
6KIMMICH JoshuaFC Bayern München (GER)3111110
15SCHLOTTERBECK NicoBorussia Dortmund (GER)26281
18BROWN NathanielEintracht Frankfurt (GER)2261
22RAUM DavidRB Leipzig (GER)28381
24THIAW MalickNewcastle United FC (ENG)2450

Midfielders (11)

#PlayerClubAgeCapsGoals
5PAVLOVIC AleksandarFC Bayern München (GER)22121
8GORETZKA LeonFC Bayern München (GER)317115
9LEWELING JamieVfB Stuttgart (GER)2551
10MUSIALA JamalFC Bayern München (GER)234310
13GROSS PascalBrighton & Hove Albion FC (ENG)34181
16STILLER AngeloVfB Stuttgart (GER)2580
17WIRTZ FlorianLiverpool FC (ENG)234211
19SANE LeroyGalatasaray SK (TUR)307717
20AMIRI Nadiem1. FSV Mainz 05 (GER)29111
23NMECHA FelixBorussia Dortmund (GER)2592
25OUEDRAOGO AssanRB Leipzig (GER)2011

Forwards (4)

#PlayerClubAgeCapsGoals
7HAVERTZ KaiArsenal FC (ENG)275924
11WOLTEMADE NickNewcastle United FC (ENG)24114
14BEIER MaximilianBorussia Dortmund (GER)2390
26UNDAV DenizVfB Stuttgart (GER)29107

Official 26-player World Cup 2026 squad; caps and goals are career totals for the national team.

🧮 How can Germany still advance? Open the calculator →🧮 See full Group E scenarios →📖 How World Cup 2026 qualification works

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations (public forecasting data + Elo), refreshed hourly

Related commentary

  • Ecuador vs Germany Result: A Stunning Upset in Group EEcuador defied the 27% pre-match win probability to defeat Germany 2-1, sending their own advancement chances surging from 27% to 100%.