Croatia
Group L · currently 2nd
At the 2026 World Cup, Croatia has a 100% chance to advance from Group L and a 0.4% chance to win the title, per a 10,000-run simulation.
Latest result · 6/27/2026
100%
Chance to advance
0.4%
Title chance
1881
Model strength rating
Strength rating = the Elo rating the model uses (one input to its probabilities), not an official ranking.
Group L table
Croatia
Top two advance directly; third place enters the best-thirds race for 8 spots. Advance chance from 10,000 Monte Carlo sims.
Next match
No upcoming fixtures
Recent form
Official squad
Head coach: Zlatko Dalić (Croatia)Avg age: 27.9Avg height: 185 cmTotal caps: 1160
Goalkeepers (3)
| # | Player | Club | Age | Caps | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LIVAKOVIC Dominik | GNK Dinamo Zagreb (CRO) | 31 | 75 | 0 |
| 12 | PANDUR Ivor | Hull City FC (ENG) | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 | KOTARSKI Dominik | FC København (DEN) | 26 | 4 | 0 |
Defenders (8)
| # | Player | Club | Age | Caps | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | STANISIC Josip | FC Bayern München (GER) | 26 | 31 | 0 |
| 3 | PONGRACIC Marin | ACF Fiorentina (ITA) | 28 | 20 | 0 |
| 4 | GVARDIOL Josko | Manchester City FC (ENG) | 24 | 48 | 4 |
| 5 | CALETA-CAR Duje | Real Sociedad (ESP) | 29 | 38 | 1 |
| 6 | SUTALO Josip | AFC Ajax (NED) | 26 | 33 | 0 |
| 18 | JAKIC Kristijan | FC Augsburg (GER) | 29 | 17 | 2 |
| 22 | VUSKOVIC Luka | Hamburger SV (GER) | 19 | 5 | 1 |
| 25 | ERLIC Martin | FC Midtjylland (DEN) | 28 | 13 | 1 |
Midfielders (9)
| # | Player | Club | Age | Caps | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | MORO Nikola | Bologna FC (ITA) | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 8 | KOVACIC Mateo | Manchester City FC (ENG) | 32 | 113 | 5 |
| 10 | MODRIC Luka | AC Milan (ITA) | 40 | 198 | 29 |
| 13 | VLASIC Nikola | Torino FC (ITA) | 28 | 63 | 10 |
| 15 | PASALIC Mario | Atalanta Bergamo (ITA) | 31 | 85 | 12 |
| 16 | BATURINA Martin | Como (ITA) | 23 | 19 | 1 |
| 17 | SUCIC Petar | FC Internazionale Milano (ITA) | 22 | 17 | 1 |
| 19 | FRUK Toni | HNK Rijeka (CRO) | 25 | 7 | 1 |
| 21 | SUCIC Luka | Real Sociedad (ESP) | 23 | 21 | 1 |
Forwards (6)
| # | Player | Club | Age | Caps | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | KRAMARIC Andrej | TSG Hoffenheim (GER) | 34 | 116 | 36 |
| 11 | BUDIMIR Ante | CA Osasuna (ESP) | 34 | 38 | 6 |
| 14 | PERISIC Ivan | PSV Eindhoven (NED) | 37 | 154 | 38 |
| 20 | MATANOVIC Igor | SC Freiburg (GER) | 23 | 9 | 2 |
| 24 | PASALIC Marco | Orlando City SC (USA) | 25 | 15 | 1 |
| 26 | MUSA Petar | FC Dallas (USA) | 28 | 11 | 1 |
Official 26-player World Cup 2026 squad; caps and goals are career totals for the national team.
🧮 How can Croatia still advance? Open the calculator →🧮 See full Group L scenarios →📖 How World Cup 2026 qualification works10,000 Monte Carlo simulations (public forecasting data + Elo), refreshed hourly
Related commentary
- Croatia vs Ghana: A Hard-Fought Victory in Group LCroatia secured a 2-1 win in the Croatia vs Ghana clash, shifting their advancement probability from 91% to 73% while Ghana's title outlook climbed to 3%.
- Panama vs Croatia: A Narrow Defeat Ends The Dream in Group LA gritty 0-1 loss to Croatia officially ends Panama's tournament hopes, as their chance to advance plummets from 20% to <1%.