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England

Group L · currently 1st

At the 2026 World Cup, England has a 100% chance to advance from Group L and a 13% chance to win the title, per a 10,000-run simulation.

Latest result · 6/27/2026

100%
Chance to advance
13%
Title chance
2125
Model strength rating

Strength rating = the Elo rating the model uses (one input to its probabilities), not an official ranking.

Group L table

#TeamPPtsGDAdv
1England37+4100%
2Croatia360100%
3Ghana340100%
4Panama30-40%

Top two advance directly; third place enters the best-thirds race for 8 spots. Advance chance from 10,000 Monte Carlo sims.

Next match

No upcoming fixtures

Recent form

WAPanama2-0DHGhana0-0WHCroatia4-2

Official squad

Head coach: Thomas Tuchel (Germany)Avg age: 26.6Avg height: 184 cmTotal caps: 842

Goalkeepers (3)

#PlayerClubAgeCapsGoals
1PICKFORD JordanEverton FC (ENG)32840
13HENDERSON DeanCrystal Palace FC (ENG)2940
23TRAFFORD JamesManchester City FC (ENG)2320

Defenders (9)

#PlayerClubAgeCapsGoals
2KONSA EzriAston Villa FC (ENG)28201
3OREILLY NicoManchester City FC (ENG)2150
5STONES JohnManchester City FC (ENG)32893
6GUEHI MarcManchester City FC (ENG)25291
12LIVRAMENTO TinoNewcastle United FC (ENG)2360
15BURN DanNewcastle United FC (ENG)3480
24JAMES ReeceChelsea FC (ENG)26241
25SPENCE DjedTottenham Hotspur FC (ENG)2560
26QUANSAH JarellBayer 04 Leverkusen (GER)2330

Midfielders (7)

#PlayerClubAgeCapsGoals
4RICE DeclanArsenal FC (ENG)27737
8ANDERSON ElliotNottingham Forest FC (ENG)2390
10BELLINGHAM JudeReal Madrid C. F. (ESP)22486
14HENDERSON JordanBrentford FC (ENG)35913
16MAINOO KobbieManchester United FC (ENG)21140
17ROGERS MorganAston Villa FC (ENG)23151
21EZE EberechiArsenal FC (ENG)27173

Forwards (7)

#PlayerClubAgeCapsGoals
7SAKA BukayoArsenal FC (ENG)244914
9KANE HarryFC Bayern München (GER)3211479
11RASHFORD MarcusFC Barcelona (ESP)287218
18GORDON AnthonyNewcastle United FC (ENG)25193
19WATKINS OllieAston Villa FC (ENG)30227
20MADUEKE NoniArsenal FC (ENG)24111
22TONEY IvanAl Ahli FC (KSA)3081

Official 26-player World Cup 2026 squad; caps and goals are career totals for the national team.

🧮 How can England still advance? Open the calculator →🧮 See full Group L scenarios →📖 How World Cup 2026 qualification works

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations (public forecasting data + Elo), refreshed hourly

Related commentary

  • A tactical deadlock in England vs Ghana leaves the group wide openAfter an unexpected stalemate in England vs Ghana, England's title probability dipped from 10% to 9% while Ghana saw their advancement chance jump to 99%.