Uruguay
Group H · currently 3rd
At the 2026 World Cup, Uruguay has a 0.0% chance to advance from Group H and a 0.0% chance to win the title, per a 10,000-run simulation.
Latest result · 6/27/2026
0.0%
Chance to advance
0.0%
Title chance
1841
Model strength rating
Strength rating = the Elo rating the model uses (one input to its probabilities), not an official ranking.
Group H table
| # | Team | P | Pts | GD | Adv |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Spain | 3 | 7 | +6 | 100% |
| 2 |  Cape Verde Islands | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% |
| 3 |  Uruguay | 3 | 2 | -1 | 0% |
| 4 |  Saudi Arabia | 3 | 2 | -5 | 0% |
Top two advance directly; third place enters the best-thirds race for 8 spots. Advance chance from 10,000 Monte Carlo sims.
Next match
No upcoming fixtures
Recent form
Official squad
Head coach: Marcelo Bielsa (Argentina)Avg age: 28.2Avg height: 181 cmTotal caps: 927
Goalkeepers (3)
| # | Player | Club | Age | Caps | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ROCHET Sergio | SC Internacional (BRA) | 33 | 35 | 0 |
| 12 | MELE Santiago | CF Monterrey (MEX) | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 | MUSLERA Fernando | Estudiantes LP (ARG) | 39 | 134 | 0 |
Defenders (7)
| # | Player | Club | Age | Caps | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | GIMENEZ Jose Maria | Atlético De Madrid (ESP) | 31 | 99 | 8 |
| 3 | CACERES Sebastian | Club América (MEX) | 26 | 23 | 0 |
| 4 | ARAUJO Ronald | FC Barcelona (ESP) | 27 | 27 | 1 |
| 13 | VARELA Guillermo | CR Flamengo (BRA) | 33 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 | OLIVERA Mathias | SSC Napoli (ITA) | 28 | 35 | 2 |
| 17 | VINA Matias | CA River Plate (ARG) | 28 | 43 | 1 |
| 24 | BUENO Santiago | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (ENG) | 27 | 8 | 0 |
Midfielders (11)
| # | Player | Club | Age | Caps | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | UGARTE Manuel | Manchester United FC (ENG) | 25 | 35 | 1 |
| 6 | BENTANCUR Rodrigo | Tottenham Hotspur FC (ENG) | 28 | 73 | 3 |
| 7 | DE LA CRUZ Nicolas | CR Flamengo (BRA) | 29 | 34 | 5 |
| 8 | VALVERDE Federico | Real Madrid C. F. (ESP) | 27 | 73 | 9 |
| 10 | DE ARRASCAETA Giorgian | CR Flamengo (BRA) | 32 | 59 | 13 |
| 14 | CANOBBIO Agustin | Fluminense FC (BRA) | 27 | 14 | 1 |
| 15 | MARTINEZ Emiliano | SE Palmeiras (BRA) | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 | ARAUJO Maxi | Sporting CP (POR) | 26 | 28 | 3 |
| 22 | PIQUEREZ Joaquin | SE Palmeiras (BRA) | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 | SANABRIA Juan Manuel | Real Salt Lake (USA) | 26 | 5 | 1 |
| 26 | ZALAZAR Rodrigo | SC Braga (POR) | 26 | 7 | 2 |
Forwards (5)
| # | Player | Club | Age | Caps | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | NUNEZ Darwin | Al Hilal SC (KSA) | 26 | 38 | 13 |
| 11 | PELLISTRI Facundo | Panathinaikos FC (GRE) | 24 | 39 | 2 |
| 18 | RODRIGUEZ Brian | Club América (MEX) | 26 | 33 | 4 |
| 19 | AGUIRRE Rodrigo | Tigres UANL (MEX) | 31 | 10 | 3 |
| 21 | VINAS Federico | Real Oviedo (ESP) | 27 | 11 | 2 |
Official 26-player World Cup 2026 squad; caps and goals are career totals for the national team.
🧮 How can Uruguay still advance? Open the calculator →🧮 See full Group H scenarios →📖 How World Cup 2026 qualification works10,000 Monte Carlo simulations (public forecasting data + Elo), refreshed hourly
Related commentary
- Uruguay vs Spain Result: La Roja Advance as Uruguay Bows OutSpain secures a narrow 0-1 victory, sending their championship probability from 18% to 20% while Uruguay's advancement chance drops from 34% to <1%.
- Uruguay vs Cape Verde Islands ends in a shock 2-2 drawA stunning 2-2 draw in the Uruguay vs Cape Verde Islands match shifts the Group H landscape, dropping Uruguay's advance probability from 74% to 44%.
- A tactical deadlock in Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay shifts group HSaudi Arabia defied the 23% draw probability in the Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay match, lifting their advancement chances from 35% to 45% after a hard-fought 1-1.