Spain
Group H · currently 1st
At the 2026 World Cup, Spain has a 100% chance to advance from Group H and a 29% chance to win the title, per a 10,000-run simulation.
Latest result · 6/27/2026
100%
Chance to advance
29%
Title chance
2259
Model strength rating
Strength rating = the Elo rating the model uses (one input to its probabilities), not an official ranking.
Group H table
| # | Team | P | Pts | GD | Adv |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Spain | 3 | 7 | +6 | 100% |
| 2 |  Cape Verde Islands | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% |
| 3 |  Uruguay | 3 | 2 | -1 | 0% |
| 4 |  Saudi Arabia | 3 | 2 | -5 | 0% |
Top two advance directly; third place enters the best-thirds race for 8 spots. Advance chance from 10,000 Monte Carlo sims.
Next match
No upcoming fixtures
Recent form
Official squad
Head coach: Luis de la Fuente (Spain)Avg age: 26.2Avg height: 182 cmTotal caps: 743
Goalkeepers (3)
| # | Player | Club | Age | Caps | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RAYA David | Arsenal FC (ENG) | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 | GARCIA Joan | FC Barcelona (ESP) | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 | SIMON Unai | Athletic Club (ESP) | 29 | 58 | 0 |
Defenders (8)
| # | Player | Club | Age | Caps | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | PUBILL Marc | Atlético De Madrid (ESP) | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 3 | GRIMALDO Alex | Bayer 04 Leverkusen (GER) | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 4 | GARCIA Eric | FC Barcelona (ESP) | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 5 | LLORENTE Marcos | Atlético De Madrid (ESP) | 31 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 | PORRO Pedro | Tottenham Hotspur FC (ENG) | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 | LAPORTE Aymeric | Athletic Club (ESP) | 32 | 46 | 2 |
| 22 | CUBARSI Pau | FC Barcelona (ESP) | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 | CUCURELLA Marc | Chelsea FC (ENG) | 27 | 24 | 1 |
Midfielders (7)
Forwards (8)
| # | Player | Club | Age | Caps | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | TORRES Ferran | FC Barcelona (ESP) | 26 | 57 | 24 |
| 10 | OLMO Dani | FC Barcelona (ESP) | 28 | 50 | 12 |
| 11 | PINO Yeremy | Crystal Palace FC (ENG) | 23 | 23 | 4 |
| 17 | WILLIAMS Nico | Athletic Club (ESP) | 23 | 30 | 6 |
| 19 | YAMAL Lamine | FC Barcelona (ESP) | 18 | 25 | 6 |
| 21 | OYARZABAL Mikel | Real Sociedad (ESP) | 29 | 53 | 25 |
| 25 | MUNOZ Victor | CA Osasuna (ESP) | 22 | 2 | 1 |
| 26 | IGLESIAS Borja | RC Celta Vigo (ESP) | 33 | 8 | 0 |
Official 26-player World Cup 2026 squad; caps and goals are career totals for the national team.
🧮 How can Spain still advance? Open the calculator →🧮 See full Group H scenarios →📖 How World Cup 2026 qualification works10,000 Monte Carlo simulations (public forecasting data + Elo), refreshed hourly
Related commentary
- Uruguay vs Spain Result: La Roja Advance as Uruguay Bows OutSpain secures a narrow 0-1 victory, sending their championship probability from 18% to 20% while Uruguay's advancement chance drops from 34% to <1%.
- Clinical Spain vs Saudi Arabia Performance Secures Dominant VictoryA resounding 5-0 win for Spain over Saudi Arabia shifts their advancement probability from 93% to 100% and boosts their championship outlook.
- Stalemate in Group H: Spain vs Cape Verde Islands Ends GoallessA shock draw in Spain vs Cape Verde Islands sees Spain's advancement probability dip from 96% to 92% as the underdogs surge from 38% to 51%.