At the 2026 World Cup, Portugal has a 100% chance to advance from Group K and a 2.7% chance to win the title, per a 10,000-run simulation.
Latest result · 6/28/2026
Strength rating = the Elo rating the model uses (one input to its probabilities), not an official ranking.
| # | Team | P | Pts | GD | Adv |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 7 | +3 | 100% | |
| 2 | 3 | 5 | +5 | 100% | |
| 3 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 100% | |
| 4 | 3 | 0 | -9 | 0% |
Top two advance directly; third place enters the best-thirds race for 8 spots. Advance chance from 10,000 Monte Carlo sims.
No upcoming fixtures
| # | Player | Club | Age | Caps | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DIOGO COSTA | FC Porto (POR) | 26 | 43 | 0 |
| 12 | JOSE SA | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (ENG) | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 | RUI SILVA | Sporting CP (POR) | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| # | Player | Club | Age | Caps | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | NELSON SEMEDO | Fenerbahçe SK (TUR) | 32 | 50 | 0 |
| 3 | RUBEN DIAS | Manchester City FC (ENG) | 29 | 76 | 3 |
| 4 | TOMAS ARAUJO | SL Benfica (POR) | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 5 | DIOGO DALOT | Manchester United FC (ENG) | 27 | 35 | 3 |
| 13 | RENATO VEIGA | Villarreal CF (ESP) | 22 | 13 | 1 |
| 14 | GONCALO INACIO | Sporting CP (POR) | 24 | 22 | 2 |
| 20 | JOAO CANCELO | FC Barcelona (ESP) | 32 | 68 | 12 |
| 24 | SAMU COSTA | RCD Mallorca (ESP) | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 | NUNO MENDES | Paris Saint-Germain (FRA) | 23 | 44 | 1 |
| # | Player | Club | Age | Caps | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | MATHEUS NUNES | Manchester City FC (ENG) | 27 | 20 | 2 |
| 8 | BRUNO FERNANDES | Manchester United FC (ENG) | 31 | 89 | 29 |
| 10 | BERNARDO SILVA | Manchester City FC (ENG) | 31 | 109 | 14 |
| 15 | JOAO NEVES | Paris Saint-Germain (FRA) | 21 | 22 | 3 |
| 21 | RUBEN NEVES | Al Hilal SC (KSA) | 29 | 67 | 1 |
| 23 | VITINHA | Paris Saint-Germain (FRA) | 26 | 38 | 0 |
| # | Player | Club | Age | Caps | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | CRISTIANO RONALDO | Al Nassr FC (KSA) | 41 | 228 | 143 |
| 9 | GONCALO RAMOS | Paris Saint-Germain (FRA) | 24 | 25 | 10 |
| 11 | JOAO FELIX | Al Nassr FC (KSA) | 26 | 54 | 12 |
| 16 | FRANCISCO TRINCAO | Sporting CP (POR) | 26 | 18 | 3 |
| 17 | RAFAEL LEAO | AC Milan (ITA) | 27 | 44 | 5 |
| 18 | PEDRO NETO | Chelsea FC (ENG) | 26 | 25 | 3 |
| 19 | GONCALO GUEDES | Real Sociedad (ESP) | 29 | 35 | 8 |
| 26 | FRANCISCO CONCEICAO | Juventus FC (ITA) | 23 | 17 | 4 |
Official 26-player World Cup 2026 squad; caps and goals are career totals for the national team.
🧮 How can Portugal still advance? Open the calculator →🧮 See full Group K scenarios →📖 How World Cup 2026 qualification works10,000 Monte Carlo simulations (public forecasting data + Elo), refreshed hourly