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Portugal

Group K · currently 2nd

At the 2026 World Cup, Portugal has a 100% chance to advance from Group K and a 2.7% chance to win the title, per a 10,000-run simulation.

Latest result · 6/28/2026

100%
Chance to advance
2.7%
Title chance
1995
Model strength rating

Strength rating = the Elo rating the model uses (one input to its probabilities), not an official ranking.

Group K table

#TeamPPtsGDAdv
1Colombia37+3100%
2Portugal35+5100%
3Congo DR34+1100%
4Uzbekistan30-90%

Top two advance directly; third place enters the best-thirds race for 8 spots. Advance chance from 10,000 Monte Carlo sims.

Next match

No upcoming fixtures

Recent form

DAColombia0-0WHUzbekistan5-0DHCongo DR1-1

Official squad

Head coach: Roberto Martínez (Spain)Avg age: 27.5Avg height: 182 cmTotal caps: 1161

Goalkeepers (3)

#PlayerClubAgeCapsGoals
1DIOGO COSTAFC Porto (POR)26430
12JOSE SAWolverhampton Wanderers FC (ENG)3350
22RUI SILVASporting CP (POR)3230

Defenders (9)

#PlayerClubAgeCapsGoals
2NELSON SEMEDOFenerbahçe SK (TUR)32500
3RUBEN DIASManchester City FC (ENG)29763
4TOMAS ARAUJOSL Benfica (POR)2450
5DIOGO DALOTManchester United FC (ENG)27353
13RENATO VEIGAVillarreal CF (ESP)22131
14GONCALO INACIOSporting CP (POR)24222
20JOAO CANCELOFC Barcelona (ESP)326812
24SAMU COSTARCD Mallorca (ESP)2560
25NUNO MENDESParis Saint-Germain (FRA)23441

Midfielders (6)

#PlayerClubAgeCapsGoals
6MATHEUS NUNESManchester City FC (ENG)27202
8BRUNO FERNANDESManchester United FC (ENG)318929
10BERNARDO SILVAManchester City FC (ENG)3110914
15JOAO NEVESParis Saint-Germain (FRA)21223
21RUBEN NEVESAl Hilal SC (KSA)29671
23VITINHAParis Saint-Germain (FRA)26380

Forwards (8)

#PlayerClubAgeCapsGoals
7CRISTIANO RONALDOAl Nassr FC (KSA)41228143
9GONCALO RAMOSParis Saint-Germain (FRA)242510
11JOAO FELIXAl Nassr FC (KSA)265412
16FRANCISCO TRINCAOSporting CP (POR)26183
17RAFAEL LEAOAC Milan (ITA)27445
18PEDRO NETOChelsea FC (ENG)26253
19GONCALO GUEDESReal Sociedad (ESP)29358
26FRANCISCO CONCEICAOJuventus FC (ITA)23174

Official 26-player World Cup 2026 squad; caps and goals are career totals for the national team.

🧮 How can Portugal still advance? Open the calculator →🧮 See full Group K scenarios →📖 How World Cup 2026 qualification works

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations (public forecasting data + Elo), refreshed hourly

Related commentary

  • Clinical Portugal vs Uzbekistan: A Ruthless Display of DominancePortugal crushed Uzbekistan 5-0 to clinch their spot, shifting their advancement probability from 81% to 100% in a dominant Group K performance.