Colombia
Group K · currently 1st
At the 2026 World Cup, Colombia has a 100% chance to advance from Group K and a 4.8% chance to win the title, per a 10,000-run simulation.
Latest result · 6/28/2026
100%
Chance to advance
4.8%
Title chance
2003
Model strength rating
Strength rating = the Elo rating the model uses (one input to its probabilities), not an official ranking.
Group K table
| # | Team | P | Pts | GD | Adv |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Colombia | 3 | 7 | +3 | 100% |
| 2 |  Portugal | 3 | 5 | +5 | 100% |
| 3 |  Congo DR | 3 | 4 | +1 | 100% |
| 4 |  Uzbekistan | 3 | 0 | -9 | 0% |
Top two advance directly; third place enters the best-thirds race for 8 spots. Advance chance from 10,000 Monte Carlo sims.
Next match
No upcoming fixtures
Recent form
Official squad
Head coach: Néstor Lorenzo (Argentina)Avg age: 29.6Avg height: 180 cmTotal caps: 1043
Goalkeepers (3)
| # | Player | Club | Age | Caps | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | OSPINA David | Atlético Nacional (COL) | 37 | 130 | 0 |
| 12 | VARGAS Camilo | Atlas FC (MEX) | 37 | 42 | 0 |
| 24 | MONTERO Alvaro | CA Vélez Sarsfield (ARG) | 31 | 12 | 0 |
Defenders (9)
| # | Player | Club | Age | Caps | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | MUNOZ Daniel | Crystal Palace FC (ENG) | 30 | 46 | 3 |
| 3 | LUCUMI Jhon | Bologna FC (ITA) | 27 | 37 | 1 |
| 4 | ARIAS Santiago | CA Independiente (ARG) | 34 | 68 | 0 |
| 13 | MINA Yerry | Cagliari (ITA) | 31 | 54 | 8 |
| 14 | PUERTA Gustavo | Racing Santander (ESP) | 22 | 6 | 1 |
| 17 | MOJICA Johan | RCD Mallorca (ESP) | 33 | 45 | 1 |
| 18 | DITTA Willer | CF Cruz Azul (MEX) | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 | MACHADO Deiver | FC Nantes (FRA) | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 | SANCHEZ Davinson | Galatasaray SK (TUR) | 29 | 79 | 4 |
Midfielders (8)
| # | Player | Club | Age | Caps | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | CASTANO Kevin | CA River Plate (ARG) | 25 | 25 | 0 |
| 6 | RIOS Richard | SL Benfica (POR) | 26 | 32 | 2 |
| 8 | CARRASCAL Jorge | CR Flamengo (BRA) | 28 | 25 | 2 |
| 10 | RODRIGUEZ James | Minnesota United FC (USA) | 34 | 126 | 31 |
| 11 | ARIAS Jhon | SE Palmeiras (BRA) | 28 | 38 | 6 |
| 15 | PORTILLA Juan | Athletico Paranaense (BRA) | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 | LERMA Jefferson | Crystal Palace FC (ENG) | 31 | 65 | 5 |
| 20 | QUINTERO Juan | CA River Plate (ARG) | 33 | 49 | 6 |
Forwards (6)
| # | Player | Club | Age | Caps | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | DIAZ Luis | FC Bayern München (GER) | 29 | 74 | 22 |
| 9 | CORDOBA Jhon | FC Krasnodar (RUS) | 33 | 21 | 6 |
| 19 | HERNANDEZ Cucho | Real Betis (ESP) | 27 | 9 | 2 |
| 21 | CAMPAZ Jaminton | CA Rosario Central (ARG) | 26 | 10 | 1 |
| 25 | SUAREZ Luis | Sporting CP (POR) | 28 | 12 | 5 |
| 26 | GOMEZ Andres | CR Vasco Da Gama (BRA) | 23 | 8 | 2 |
Official 26-player World Cup 2026 squad; caps and goals are career totals for the national team.
🧮 How can Colombia still advance? Open the calculator →🧮 See full Group K scenarios →📖 How World Cup 2026 qualification works10,000 Monte Carlo simulations (public forecasting data + Elo), refreshed hourly
Related commentary
- Colombia vs Congo DR: Efficiency Wins the Day in Group KColombia edges Congo DR 1-0, shifting their title probability from 5% to 6% while Congo DR's advancement outlook dips from 52% to 38%.
- Colombia Dominates Uzbekistan vs Colombia in Group K ShowdownA decisive 1-3 victory for Colombia saw their chances to advance jump from 89% to 98% as the Group K standings shift significantly.