Colombia
Group K · currently 1st
At the 2026 World Cup, Colombia has a 99% chance to advance from Group K and a 6.7% chance to win the title, per a 10,000-run simulation.
Latest result · 6/18/2026
99%
Chance to advance
6.7%
Title chance
1998
Model strength rating
Strength rating = the Elo rating the model uses (one input to its probabilities), not an official ranking.
Can Colombia still advance?
Colombia clinches a Round-of-32 place with 4 points (goal difference +1) — 1 more point to go.
- 2W: about 100% chance to advance (finishing #1 in the group).
- 1W 1D: about 100% chance to advance (finishing #1 in the group).
- 1W 1L: about 100% chance to advance (finishing #1–2 in the group).
Group K table
| # | Team | P | Pts | GD | Adv |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Colombia | 1 | 3 | +2 | 99% |
| 2 |  Portugal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 82% |
| 3 |  Congo DR | 1 | 1 | 0 | 50% |
| 4 |  Uzbekistan | 1 | 0 | -2 |
Next match
HCongo DR--:--Recent form
Official squad
Head coach: Néstor Lorenzo (Argentina)Avg age: 29.6Avg height: 180 cmTotal caps: 1043
Goalkeepers (3)
| # | Player | Club | Age | Caps | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | OSPINA David | Atlético Nacional (COL) | 37 | 130 | 0 |
| 12 | VARGAS Camilo | Atlas FC (MEX) | 37 | 42 | 0 |
| 24 | MONTERO Alvaro | CA Vélez Sarsfield (ARG) | 31 | 12 | 0 |
Defenders (9)
| # |
|---|
10,000 Monte Carlo simulations (public forecasting data + Elo), refreshed hourly