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Canada

Group B · currently 2nd

At the 2026 World Cup, Canada has a 100% chance to advance from Group B and a 0.3% chance to win the title, per a 10,000-run simulation.

Latest result · 6/24/2026

100%
Chance to advance
0.3%
Title chance
1729
Model strength rating

Strength rating = the Elo rating the model uses (one input to its probabilities), not an official ranking.

Group B table

#TeamPPtsGDAdv
1Switzerland37+4100%
2Canada34+5100%
3Bosnia-Herzegovina34-1100%
4Qatar31-80%

Top two advance directly; third place enters the best-thirds race for 8 spots. Advance chance from 10,000 Monte Carlo sims.

Next match

No upcoming fixtures

Recent form

LASwitzerland1-2WHQatar6-0DHBosnia-Herzegovina1-1

Official squad

Head coach: Jesse Marsch (USA)Avg age: 26.5Avg height: 182 cmTotal caps: 973

Goalkeepers (3)

#PlayerClubAgeCapsGoals
1ST. CLAIR DayneInter Miami CF (USA)29200
16CREPEAU MaximeOrlando City SC (USA)32330
18GOODMAN OwenBarnsley (ENG)2200

Defenders (9)

#PlayerClubAgeCapsGoals
2JOHNSTON AlistairCeltic FC (SCO)27591
3JONES AlfieMiddlesbrough FC (ENG)2820
4DE FOUGEROLLES LucFCV Dender EH (BEL)20140
5WATERMAN JoelChicago Fire FC (USA)30170
13CORNELIUS DerekRangers FC (SCO)28451
15BOMBITO MoiseOGC Nice (FRA)26200
19DAVIES AlphonsoFC Bayern München (GER)255815
22LARYEA RichieToronto FC (CAN)31771
23SIGUR NikoHNK Hajduk Split (CRO)22192

Midfielders (7)

#PlayerClubAgeCapsGoals
6CHOINIERE MathieuLAFC (USA)27240
7EUSTAQUIO StephenLAFC (USA)29574
8KONE IsmaelUS Sassuolo (ITA)23414
11MILLAR LiamHull City FC (ENG)26421
14SHAFFELBURG JacobLAFC (USA)26326
21OSORIO JonathanToronto FC (CAN)339210
25SALIBA NathanRSC Anderlecht (BEL)22152

Forwards (7)

#PlayerClubAgeCapsGoals
9LARIN CyleSouthampton FC (ENG)319131
10DAVID JonathanJuventus FC (ITA)267839
12OLUWASEYI TaniVillarreal CF (ESP)26252
17BUCHANAN TajonVillarreal CF (ESP)27618
20AHMED AliNorwich City FC (ENG)25251
24DAVID PromiseRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise (BEL)24113
26NELSON JaydenAustin FC (USA)23153

Official 26-player World Cup 2026 squad; caps and goals are career totals for the national team.

🧮 How can Canada still advance? Open the calculator →🧮 See full Group B scenarios →📖 How World Cup 2026 qualification works

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations (public forecasting data + Elo), refreshed hourly

Related commentary

  • Dominant Canada vs Qatar Result Seals Knockout SpotCanada cruises to victory, jumping from 82% to 100% to advance, while Qatar's outlook drops from 37% to 21% after a heavy 6-0 defeat.