Bosnia-Herzegovina
Group B · currently 3rd
At the 2026 World Cup, Bosnia-Herzegovina has a 52% chance to advance from Group B and a 0.1% chance to win the title, per a 10,000-run simulation.
Latest result · 6/18/2026
52%
Chance to advance
0.1%
Title chance
1596
Model strength rating
Strength rating = the Elo rating the model uses (one input to its probabilities), not an official ranking.
Group B table
| # | Team | P | Pts | GD | Adv |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Canada | 2 | 4 | +6 | 100% |
| 2 |  Switzerland | 2 | 4 | +3 | 100% |
| 3 |  Bosnia-Herzegovina | 2 | 1 | -3 | 52% |
| 4 |  Qatar | 2 | 1 | -6 | 21% |
Top two advance directly; third place enters the best-thirds race for 8 spots. Advance chance from 10,000 Monte Carlo sims.
Next match
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🧮 How can Bosnia-Herzegovina still advance? Open the calculator →🧮 See full Group B scenarios →📖 How World Cup 2026 qualification works10,000 Monte Carlo simulations (public forecasting data + Elo), refreshed hourly