At the 2026 World Cup, Brazil has a 100% chance to advance from Group C and a 4.3% chance to win the title, per a 10,000-run simulation.
Latest result · 6/20/2026
Strength rating = the Elo rating the model uses (one input to its probabilities), not an official ranking.
Brazil has already secured a place in the Round of 32.
Top two advance directly; third place enters the best-thirds race for 8 spots. Advance chance from 10,000 Monte Carlo sims.
| # | Player | Club | Age | Caps | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ALISSON | Liverpool FC (ENG) | 33 | 79 | 0 |
| 12 | WEVERTON | Grêmio FBPA (BRA) | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 | EDERSON | Fenerbahçe SK (TUR) | 32 | 32 | 0 |
| # | Player |
|---|
10,000 Monte Carlo simulations (public forecasting data + Elo), refreshed hourly
| Club |
|---|
| Age |
|---|
| Caps |
|---|
| Goals |
|---|
| 3 | GABRIEL MAGALHAES | Arsenal FC (ENG) | 28 | 18 | 1 |
| 4 | MARQUINHOS | Paris Saint-Germain (FRA) | 32 | 106 | 7 |
| 6 | ALEX SANDRO | CR Flamengo (BRA) | 35 | 45 | 2 |
| 13 | DANILO | CR Flamengo (BRA) | 34 | 71 | 1 |
| 14 | BREMER | Juventus FC (ITA) | 29 | 8 | 1 |
| 15 | LEO PEREIRA | CR Flamengo (BRA) | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 | DOUGLAS SANTOS | FC Zenit St. Petersburg (RUS) | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 | ROGER IBANEZ | Al Ahli FC (KSA) | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| # | Player | Club | Age | Caps | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | EDERSON SILVA | Atalanta Bergamo (ITA) | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 5 | CASEMIRO | Manchester United FC (ENG) | 34 | 87 | 9 |
| 8 | BRUNO GUIMARAES | Newcastle United FC (ENG) | 28 | 44 | 3 |
| 17 | FABINHO | Al Ittihad (KSA) | 32 | 34 | 0 |
| 18 | DANILO SANTOS | Botafogo (BRA) | 25 | 5 | 2 |
| 20 | LUCAS PAQUETA | CR Flamengo (BRA) | 28 | 64 | 13 |
| # | Player | Club | Age | Caps | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | VINICIUS JUNIOR | Real Madrid C. F. (ESP) | 25 | 50 | 10 |
| 9 | MATHEUS CUNHA | Manchester United FC (ENG) | 27 | 24 | 1 |
| 10 | NEYMAR JR | Santos FC (BRA) | 34 | 128 | 79 |
| 11 | RAPHINHA | FC Barcelona (ESP) | 29 | 40 | 11 |
| 19 | ENDRICK | Olympique Lyonnais (FRA) | 19 | 17 | 4 |
| 21 | LUIZ HENRIQUE | FC Zenit St. Petersburg (RUS) | 25 | 16 | 2 |
| 22 | GABRIEL MARTINELLI | Arsenal FC (ENG) | 24 | 23 | 4 |
| 25 | IGOR THIAGO | Brentford FC (ENG) | 24 | 5 | 2 |
| 26 | RAYAN | AFC Bournemouth (ENG) | 19 | 2 | 1 |
Official 26-player World Cup 2026 squad; caps and goals are career totals for the national team.