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Brazil

Group C · currently 1st

At the 2026 World Cup, Brazil has a 100% chance to advance from Group C and a 3.2% chance to win the title, per a 10,000-run simulation.

Latest result · 6/25/2026

100%
Chance to advance
3.2%
Title chance
1993
Model strength rating

Strength rating = the Elo rating the model uses (one input to its probabilities), not an official ranking.

Group C table

#TeamPPtsGDAdv
1Brazil37+6100%
2Morocco37+3100%
3Scotland33-30%
4Haiti30-60%

Top two advance directly; third place enters the best-thirds race for 8 spots. Advance chance from 10,000 Monte Carlo sims.

Next match

No upcoming fixtures

Recent form

WAScotland3-0WHHaiti3-0DHMorocco1-1

Official squad

Head coach: Carlo Ancelotti (Italy)Avg age: 28.8Avg height: 183 cmTotal caps: 932

Goalkeepers (3)

#PlayerClubAgeCapsGoals
1ALISSONLiverpool FC (ENG)33790
12WEVERTONGrêmio FBPA (BRA)38110
23EDERSONFenerbahçe SK (TUR)32320

Defenders (8)

#PlayerClubAgeCapsGoals
3GABRIEL MAGALHAESArsenal FC (ENG)28181
4MARQUINHOSParis Saint-Germain (FRA)321067
6ALEX SANDROCR Flamengo (BRA)35452
13DANILOCR Flamengo (BRA)34711
14BREMERJuventus FC (ITA)2981
15LEO PEREIRACR Flamengo (BRA)3040
16DOUGLAS SANTOSFC Zenit St. Petersburg (RUS)3280
24ROGER IBANEZAl Ahli FC (KSA)2780

Midfielders (6)

#PlayerClubAgeCapsGoals
2EDERSON SILVAAtalanta Bergamo (ITA)2630
5CASEMIROManchester United FC (ENG)34879
8BRUNO GUIMARAESNewcastle United FC (ENG)28443
17FABINHOAl Ittihad (KSA)32340
18DANILO SANTOSBotafogo (BRA)2552
20LUCAS PAQUETACR Flamengo (BRA)286413

Forwards (9)

#PlayerClubAgeCapsGoals
7VINICIUS JUNIORReal Madrid C. F. (ESP)255010
9MATHEUS CUNHAManchester United FC (ENG)27241
10NEYMAR JRSantos FC (BRA)3412879
11RAPHINHAFC Barcelona (ESP)294011
19ENDRICKOlympique Lyonnais (FRA)19174
21LUIZ HENRIQUEFC Zenit St. Petersburg (RUS)25162
22GABRIEL MARTINELLIArsenal FC (ENG)24234
25IGOR THIAGOBrentford FC (ENG)2452
26RAYANAFC Bournemouth (ENG)1921

Official 26-player World Cup 2026 squad; caps and goals are career totals for the national team.

🧮 How can Brazil still advance? Open the calculator →🧮 See full Group C scenarios →📖 How World Cup 2026 qualification works

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations (public forecasting data + Elo), refreshed hourly

Related commentary

  • A Rough Night in Scotland vs Brazil Leaves Group C Wide OpenA commanding 0-3 victory for Brazil sees Scotland’s chance to advance drop from 85% to 58% in a major Group Stage shift.