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Austria

Group J · currently 2nd

At the 2026 World Cup, Austria has a 100% chance to advance from Group J and a 0.2% chance to win the title, per a 10,000-run simulation.

Latest result · 6/28/2026

100%
Chance to advance
0.2%
Title chance
1821
Model strength rating

Strength rating = the Elo rating the model uses (one input to its probabilities), not an official ranking.

Group J table

#TeamPPtsGDAdv
1Argentina39+7100%
2Austria340100%
3Algeria34-2100%
4Jordan30-50%

Top two advance directly; third place enters the best-thirds race for 8 spots. Advance chance from 10,000 Monte Carlo sims.

Next match

No upcoming fixtures

Recent form

DAAlgeria3-3LAArgentina0-2WHJordan3-1

Official squad

Head coach: Ralf Rangnick (Germany)Avg age: 28.2Avg height: 185 cmTotal caps: 1004

Goalkeepers (3)

#PlayerClubAgeCapsGoals
1SCHLAGER AlexanderFC Red Bull Salzburg (AUT)30260
12WIEGELE FlorianFC Viktoria Plzeň (CZE)2510
13PENTZ PatrickBrøndby IF (DEN)29180

Defenders (8)

#PlayerClubAgeCapsGoals
2AFFENGRUBER DavidElche CF (ESP)2510
3DANSO KevinTottenham Hotspur FC (ENG)27320
5POSCH Stefan1. FSV Mainz 05 (GER)29525
8ALABA DavidReal Madrid C. F. (ESP)3311315
15LIENHART PhilippSC Freiburg (GER)29413
16MWENE Phillip1. FSV Mainz 05 (GER)32300
23FRIEDL MarcoSV Werder Bremen (GER)28110
25SVOBODA MichaelVenezia FC (ITA)2740

Midfielders (11)

#PlayerClubAgeCapsGoals
4SCHLAGER XaverRB Leipzig (GER)28514
6SEIWALD NicolasRB Leipzig (GER)25471
9SABITZER MarcelBorussia Dortmund (GER)329826
10GRILLITSCH FlorianSC Braga (POR)30591
17CHUKWUEMEKA CarneyBorussia Dortmund (GER)2231
18SCHMID RomanoSV Werder Bremen (GER)26343
19LJUBICIC DejanFC Schalke 04 (GER)2891
20LAIMER KonradFC Bayern München (GER)29577
22PRASS AlexanderTSG Hoffenheim (GER)25190
24WANNER PaulPSV Eindhoven (NED)2030
26SCHOEPF AlessandroWolfsberger AC (AUT)32356

Forwards (4)

#PlayerClubAgeCapsGoals
7ARNAUTOVIC MarkoFK Crvena Zvezda (SRB)3713347
11GREGORITSCH MichaelFC Augsburg (GER)327524
14KALAJDZIC SasaLASK Linz (AUT)28224
21WIMMER PatrickVfL Wolfsburg (GER)25301

Official 26-player World Cup 2026 squad; caps and goals are career totals for the national team.

🧮 How can Austria still advance? Open the calculator →🧮 See full Group J scenarios →📖 How World Cup 2026 qualification works

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations (public forecasting data + Elo), refreshed hourly

Related commentary

  • A Thrilling 3-3 Draw in the Algeria vs Austria Group Stage ClashThis high-scoring stalemate forces a major shift in Group J, moving Algeria from 57% to 100% and Austria from 70% to 100% in their chances to advance.
  • Austria vs Jordan: A Commanding Performance Shifts Group JAustria asserted their dominance in the 3-1 win over Jordan, a result that surged their chance of advancing from 69% to 92% in our model.