Running 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations…
万次蒙特卡洛模拟计算中(首次约 8 秒)…
Running 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations…
万次蒙特卡洛模拟计算中(首次约 8 秒)…
Updated --:--
At the 2026 World Cup, Japan currently leads the 12 third-placed teams with 1 points; the best 8 advance to the Round of 32, with the cut-off at 0 points (Ecuador).
Each of the 12 groups has a third-placed team; the 8 best of them advance to the Round of 32. They are compared only on points, goal difference and goals scored (cross-group, with no head-to-head).
Ranked on actual results so far; below the dashed line = currently out. Tap a team for its group page.
The 8 qualifying third-placed teams are assigned to 8 group winners via FIFA's 495-combination Annex C table, so a third never meets the winner of its own group.
Flip any remaining result in the scenario calculator and watch the best third-placed race update live.